Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party, backed by repeated military purges and anti-corruption drives that have sidelined potential rivals, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Institutional controls over the People’s Liberation Army, combined with the absence of organized factional challenges in recent party meetings and the smooth approval of the 15th Five-Year Plan, reinforce perceptions of continuity. While China’s opaque political system periodically generates unverified rumors of instability, verifiable developments show no erosion of leadership cohesion. Rare scenarios such as a sudden health crisis for senior figures or a sharp economic downturn fracturing elite unity could theoretically create openings, yet structural safeguards make these developments unlikely to produce a coup attempt within the timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$128,088 Vol.
$128,088 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$128,088 Vol.
$128,088 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party, backed by repeated military purges and anti-corruption drives that have sidelined potential rivals, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Institutional controls over the People’s Liberation Army, combined with the absence of organized factional challenges in recent party meetings and the smooth approval of the 15th Five-Year Plan, reinforce perceptions of continuity. While China’s opaque political system periodically generates unverified rumors of instability, verifiable developments show no erosion of leadership cohesion. Rare scenarios such as a sudden health crisis for senior figures or a sharp economic downturn fracturing elite unity could theoretically create openings, yet structural safeguards make these developments unlikely to produce a coup attempt within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$128,088終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party, backed by repeated military purges and anti-corruption drives that have sidelined potential rivals, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Institutional controls over the People’s Liberation Army, combined with the absence of organized factional challenges in recent party meetings and the smooth approval of the 15th Five-Year Plan, reinforce perceptions of continuity. While China’s opaque political system periodically generates unverified rumors of instability, verifiable developments show no erosion of leadership cohesion. Rare scenarios such as a sudden health crisis for senior figures or a sharp economic downturn fracturing elite unity could theoretically create openings, yet structural safeguards make these developments unlikely to produce a coup attempt within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$128,088終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party, backed by repeated military purges and anti-corruption drives that have sidelined potential rivals, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Institutional controls over the People’s Liberation Army, combined with the absence of organized factional challenges in recent party meetings and the smooth approval of the 15th Five-Year Plan, reinforce perceptions of continuity. While China’s opaque political system periodically generates unverified rumors of instability, verifiable developments show no erosion of leadership cohesion. Rare scenarios such as a sudden health crisis for senior figures or a sharp economic downturn fracturing elite unity could theoretically create openings, yet structural safeguards make these developments unlikely to produce a coup attempt within the timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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