Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader expectations of no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military officials, including recent removals of top generals, have reinforced centralized control and eliminated visible factional challenges. Analysts note these actions reflect standard internal discipline rather than responses to coordinated plots, with no confirmed reports of organized dissent or leadership upheaval emerging in 2025–2026. Historical patterns of CCP stability and the absence of credible signals from primary sources further support this consensus. While sudden elite fractures, health-related transitions, or severe economic shocks could theoretically introduce instability, such developments remain low-probability barriers given current institutional safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$128,099 Vol.
$128,099 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$128,099 Vol.
$128,099 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader expectations of no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military officials, including recent removals of top generals, have reinforced centralized control and eliminated visible factional challenges. Analysts note these actions reflect standard internal discipline rather than responses to coordinated plots, with no confirmed reports of organized dissent or leadership upheaval emerging in 2025–2026. Historical patterns of CCP stability and the absence of credible signals from primary sources further support this consensus. While sudden elite fractures, health-related transitions, or severe economic shocks could theoretically introduce instability, such developments remain low-probability barriers given current institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$128,099終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader expectations of no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military officials, including recent removals of top generals, have reinforced centralized control and eliminated visible factional challenges. Analysts note these actions reflect standard internal discipline rather than responses to coordinated plots, with no confirmed reports of organized dissent or leadership upheaval emerging in 2025–2026. Historical patterns of CCP stability and the absence of credible signals from primary sources further support this consensus. While sudden elite fractures, health-related transitions, or severe economic shocks could theoretically introduce instability, such developments remain low-probability barriers given current institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$128,099終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader expectations of no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military officials, including recent removals of top generals, have reinforced centralized control and eliminated visible factional challenges. Analysts note these actions reflect standard internal discipline rather than responses to coordinated plots, with no confirmed reports of organized dissent or leadership upheaval emerging in 2025–2026. Historical patterns of CCP stability and the absence of credible signals from primary sources further support this consensus. While sudden elite fractures, health-related transitions, or severe economic shocks could theoretically introduce instability, such developments remain low-probability barriers given current institutional safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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