Xi Jinping's recent purges of senior PLA figures, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen accused of disloyalty, have reinforced centralized control over the military and security apparatus ahead of the 2027 party congress. Official directives emphasize risk prevention, grassroots governance, and technological monitoring to maintain stability, with no verified signs of organized factional challenges or coup plotting in the past year. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no attempt before 2027 because these actions demonstrate the leadership's capacity to neutralize potential rivals swiftly. Remaining uncertainties center on any abrupt leadership health event, severe economic disruption sparking widespread unrest, or unforeseen elite realignments in the narrow window through year-end.