Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (76.5%) for the Bank of Korea's May 31 policy rate decision at 3.5%, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% YoY in April—near the 2% target—and steady core pressures amid weak export growth from China slowdowns. Recent BOK minutes from the April hold emphasized patience on household debt risks and global Fed path alignment, tempering cut bets (13.5%) despite Q1 GDP contraction signals. Rate hike odds (19.5%) linger on potential services inflation rebound, but market-implied odds reflect capital backing for status quo amid subdued domestic demand and U.S. yield curve dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日No Change 66%
Increase 15%
Decrease 8%
Decrease
8%
No Change
76%
Increase
18%
No Change 66%
Increase 15%
Decrease 8%
Decrease
8%
No Change
76%
Increase
18%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (76.5%) for the Bank of Korea's May 31 policy rate decision at 3.5%, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% YoY in April—near the 2% target—and steady core pressures amid weak export growth from China slowdowns. Recent BOK minutes from the April hold emphasized patience on household debt risks and global Fed path alignment, tempering cut bets (13.5%) despite Q1 GDP contraction signals. Rate hike odds (19.5%) linger on potential services inflation rebound, but market-implied odds reflect capital backing for status quo amid subdued domestic demand and U.S. yield curve dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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