Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4% in the May 28 announcement, reflecting the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold rates steady amid escalating geopolitical risks from the ongoing war with Iran, which has sparked renewed inflation concerns while trimming 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 3.8% from 5.2%. February's annual inflation held at 2% within the 1-3% target range, supporting the pause, though the bank's research department projects a gradual decline to 3.5-3.75% over the next year, pricing in a modest 9.5% chance of a 25-basis-point cut if growth weakens further. An rate increase at 0.7% appears negligible absent sharper price pressures; watch upcoming March and April CPI releases for potential shifts ahead of the May meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日変更なし 90%
引き下げ 9%
引き上げ <1%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
引き下げ
9%
変更なし
90%
引き上げ
1%
変更なし 90%
引き下げ 9%
引き上げ <1%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
引き下げ
9%
変更なし
90%
引き上げ
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4% in the May 28 announcement, reflecting the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold rates steady amid escalating geopolitical risks from the ongoing war with Iran, which has sparked renewed inflation concerns while trimming 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 3.8% from 5.2%. February's annual inflation held at 2% within the 1-3% target range, supporting the pause, though the bank's research department projects a gradual decline to 3.5-3.75% over the next year, pricing in a modest 9.5% chance of a 25-basis-point cut if growth weakens further. An rate increase at 0.7% appears negligible absent sharper price pressures; watch upcoming March and April CPI releases for potential shifts ahead of the May meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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