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icon for アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

icon for アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者

オマール・アジズ 53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 32%

ロベルト・シダーデ 19.6%

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス <1%

Polymarket

$30,590 Vol.

オマール・アジズ 53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 32%

ロベルト・シダーデ 19.6%

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス <1%

Polymarket

$30,590 Vol.

icon for オマール・アジズ

オマール・アジズ

$9,954 Vol.

53%

icon for プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ

$6,415 Vol.

32%

icon for ロベルト・シダーデ

ロベルト・シダーデ

$6,022 Vol.

20%

icon for ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス

$2,217 Vol.

<1%

icon for カボ・ダシオロ

カボ・ダシオロ

$1,961 Vol.

<1%

icon for ダビデ・アルメイダ

ダビデ・アルメイダ

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for イサエル・ムンドゥルク

イサエル・ムンドゥルク

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a consistent polling edge in Amazonas' October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, supported by name recognition from his prior governorship and Senate tenure plus a broad coalition. However, the race remains tight because Roberto Cidade (União), the current governor installed via indirect election after 2026 resignations, benefits from incumbency visibility and regional travel, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) draw competitive shares amid high undecided and spontaneous non-response rates often exceeding 10-15%. Recent candidate sabatinas, interior visits, and policy pitches on health infrastructure and labor rules have not produced decisive separation, leaving runoff scenarios fluid and trader probabilities reflecting this fragmented field rather than any single dominant trajectory.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$30,590
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a consistent polling edge in Amazonas' October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, supported by name recognition from his prior governorship and Senate tenure plus a broad coalition. However, the race remains tight because Roberto Cidade (União), the current governor installed via indirect election after 2026 resignations, benefits from incumbency visibility and regional travel, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) draw competitive shares amid high undecided and spontaneous non-response rates often exceeding 10-15%. Recent candidate sabatinas, interior visits, and policy pitches on health infrastructure and labor rules have not produced decisive separation, leaving runoff scenarios fluid and trader probabilities reflecting this fragmented field rather than any single dominant trajectory.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$30,590
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「オマール・アジズ」で53%、次いで「プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」は$30.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「オマール・アジズ」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アマゾナス州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。