Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a consistent polling edge in Amazonas' October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, supported by name recognition from his prior governorship and Senate tenure plus a broad coalition. However, the race remains tight because Roberto Cidade (União), the current governor installed via indirect election after 2026 resignations, benefits from incumbency visibility and regional travel, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) draw competitive shares amid high undecided and spontaneous non-response rates often exceeding 10-15%. Recent candidate sabatinas, interior visits, and policy pitches on health infrastructure and labor rules have not produced decisive separation, leaving runoff scenarios fluid and trader probabilities reflecting this fragmented field rather than any single dominant trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オマール・アジズ 53%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 32%
ロベルト・シダーデ 19.6%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス <1%
$30,590 Vol.
$30,590 Vol.

オマール・アジズ
53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
32%

ロベルト・シダーデ
20%

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
<1%

カボ・ダシオロ
<1%

ダビデ・アルメイダ
<1%

イサエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%
オマール・アジズ 53%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 32%
ロベルト・シダーデ 19.6%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス <1%
$30,590 Vol.
$30,590 Vol.

オマール・アジズ
53%

プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
32%

ロベルト・シダーデ
20%

ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
<1%

カボ・ダシオロ
<1%

ダビデ・アルメイダ
<1%

イサエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a consistent polling edge in Amazonas' October 4 first-round gubernatorial contest, supported by name recognition from his prior governorship and Senate tenure plus a broad coalition. However, the race remains tight because Roberto Cidade (União), the current governor installed via indirect election after 2026 resignations, benefits from incumbency visibility and regional travel, while Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) draw competitive shares amid high undecided and spontaneous non-response rates often exceeding 10-15%. Recent candidate sabatinas, interior visits, and policy pitches on health infrastructure and labor rules have not produced decisive separation, leaving runoff scenarios fluid and trader probabilities reflecting this fragmented field rather than any single dominant trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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