Arsenal tops trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for the 2025-2026 FA Cup, driven by their sustained Premier League title challenge, robust squad depth, and key summer signings like Riccardo Calafiori bolstering defense after a strong 2024-25 campaign. Manchester City follows at 25.5%, underpinned by their historical dominance in cup competitions despite Pep Guardiola's looming departure rumors and minor squad tweaks. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects heavy transfer investment and Enzo Maresca's tactical evolution, while Liverpool's 13.5% accounts for Arne Slot's promising adaptation post-Klopp. Lower tiers like West Ham (6.2%), Leeds (5.9%), and Southampton (3.1%) gain traction from promotion pushes and cup upset potential, with no major injuries or disruptions in the past week shifting sentiment significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アーセナル 36%
マンチェスター・シティ 26%
チェルシー 18%
リバプール 14%
$331,207 Vol.
$331,207 Vol.
アーセナル
36%
マンチェスター・シティ
26%
チェルシー
18%
リバプール
14%
ウェストハム・ユナイテッド
6%
リーズ・ユナイテッドAFC
6%
サウサンプトン
3%
ポート・ヴェイル
1%
アーセナル 36%
マンチェスター・シティ 26%
チェルシー 18%
リバプール 14%
$331,207 Vol.
$331,207 Vol.
アーセナル
36%
マンチェスター・シティ
26%
チェルシー
18%
リバプール
14%
ウェストハム・ユナイテッド
6%
リーズ・ユナイテッドAFC
6%
サウサンプトン
3%
ポート・ヴェイル
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for the 2025-2026 FA Cup, driven by their sustained Premier League title challenge, robust squad depth, and key summer signings like Riccardo Calafiori bolstering defense after a strong 2024-25 campaign. Manchester City follows at 25.5%, underpinned by their historical dominance in cup competitions despite Pep Guardiola's looming departure rumors and minor squad tweaks. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects heavy transfer investment and Enzo Maresca's tactical evolution, while Liverpool's 13.5% accounts for Arne Slot's promising adaptation post-Klopp. Lower tiers like West Ham (6.2%), Leeds (5.9%), and Southampton (3.1%) gain traction from promotion pushes and cup upset potential, with no major injuries or disruptions in the past week shifting sentiment significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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