Arsenal leads trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup winner, driven by their Premier League title challenge and superior squad depth for knockout runs, reinforced by a recent unbeaten streak including key wins over rivals. Manchester City sits at 25.5% on historical dominance—claiming last season's trophy—and Pep Guardiola's rotation expertise, despite a mid-table dip from injuries to Rodri and Haaland's minor knocks. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects Enzo Maresca's tactical ascent and January transfer bolstering, while Liverpool holds 13.5% amid Arne Slot's consistent top-four push. Championship frontrunners Leeds United (5.9%) and West Ham (6.1%) gain traction from promotion momentum and past cup exploits; no major injuries or deals shifted odds in the last 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アーセナル 36%
マンチェスター・シティ 26%
チェルシー 18%
リバプール 14%
$285,247 Vol.
$285,247 Vol.
アーセナル
36%
マンチェスター・シティ
26%
チェルシー
18%
リバプール
14%
ウェストハム・ユナイテッド
6%
リーズ・ユナイテッドAFC
6%
サウサンプトン
3%
ポート・ヴェイル
1%
アーセナル 36%
マンチェスター・シティ 26%
チェルシー 18%
リバプール 14%
$285,247 Vol.
$285,247 Vol.
アーセナル
36%
マンチェスター・シティ
26%
チェルシー
18%
リバプール
14%
ウェストハム・ユナイテッド
6%
リーズ・ユナイテッドAFC
6%
サウサンプトン
3%
ポート・ヴェイル
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup winner, driven by their Premier League title challenge and superior squad depth for knockout runs, reinforced by a recent unbeaten streak including key wins over rivals. Manchester City sits at 25.5% on historical dominance—claiming last season's trophy—and Pep Guardiola's rotation expertise, despite a mid-table dip from injuries to Rodri and Haaland's minor knocks. Chelsea's 17.5% reflects Enzo Maresca's tactical ascent and January transfer bolstering, while Liverpool holds 13.5% amid Arne Slot's consistent top-four push. Championship frontrunners Leeds United (5.9%) and West Ham (6.1%) gain traction from promotion momentum and past cup exploits; no major injuries or deals shifted odds in the last 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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