Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Sen. John Cornyn at 54% implied probability to receive President Trump's endorsement in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton (33%), reflecting Cornyn's incumbency, fundraising edge, and perceived general election viability despite Paxton's polling lead among GOP primary voters. Trump teased an endorsement shortly after the March 4 primary but has remained silent for over six weeks amid intense MAGA pressure against Cornyn, missing self-imposed deadlines and praising both candidates' electability. Recent Trump endorsements include Steve Hilton for California governor (April 6), Sen. Lindsey Graham (April 10), Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (April 9), and several House candidates (April 14), signaling active involvement elsewhere. The May 27 runoff looms as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$135,172 Vol.
Steve Hilton - Governatore della California
96%
Ken Paxton - Senato Texas
58%
Susan Collins - Senato ME
54%
Andy Barr - Senato KY
40%
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
17%
$135,172 Vol.
Steve Hilton - Governatore della California
96%
Ken Paxton - Senato Texas
58%
Susan Collins - Senato ME
54%
Andy Barr - Senato KY
40%
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
17%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Sen. John Cornyn at 54% implied probability to receive President Trump's endorsement in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton (33%), reflecting Cornyn's incumbency, fundraising edge, and perceived general election viability despite Paxton's polling lead among GOP primary voters. Trump teased an endorsement shortly after the March 4 primary but has remained silent for over six weeks amid intense MAGA pressure against Cornyn, missing self-imposed deadlines and praising both candidates' electability. Recent Trump endorsements include Steve Hilton for California governor (April 6), Sen. Lindsey Graham (April 10), Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (April 9), and several House candidates (April 14), signaling active involvement elsewhere. The May 27 runoff looms as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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