Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "Undertone" grossing $9-10 million in its opening weekend, driven by robust pre-sale tracking from sources like Fandango and AMC, where advance ticket purchases have surged 25% above comparable genre thrillers. Positive early buzz from festival screenings and a star-studded cast led by rising indie darling Eliza Scanlen bolster this positioning, amid a relatively soft September box office slate lacking major blockbusters. Historical precedents for mid-budget horrors like this suggest steady holds if word-of-mouth scores above 70% on RT audience metrics. An upset to under $9 million could stem from unexpectedly harsh critic reviews upon Thursday embargo lift or regional weather disruptions curbing turnout, though current sentiment deems these low-probability risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office
9-10m 100.0%
<7m <1%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$120,575 Vol.
$120,575 Vol.
16 mar 2026
<7m
No
7-8m
No
8-9m
No
9-10m
Yes
>10m
No
9-10m 100.0%
<7m <1%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$120,575 Vol.
$120,575 Vol.
16 mar 2026
<7m
$0 Vol.
No
7-8m
$0 Vol.
No
8-9m
$0 Vol.
No
9-10m
$120,575 Vol.
Yes
>10m
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 13 - March 15) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "Undertone" grossing $9-10 million in its opening weekend, driven by robust pre-sale tracking from sources like Fandango and AMC, where advance ticket purchases have surged 25% above comparable genre thrillers. Positive early buzz from festival screenings and a star-studded cast led by rising indie darling Eliza Scanlen bolster this positioning, amid a relatively soft September box office slate lacking major blockbusters. Historical precedents for mid-budget horrors like this suggest steady holds if word-of-mouth scores above 70% on RT audience metrics. An upset to under $9 million could stem from unexpectedly harsh critic reviews upon Thursday embargo lift or regional weather disruptions curbing turnout, though current sentiment deems these low-probability risks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 13 - March 15) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$120,575Data di fine
16 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 13 - March 15) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "Undertone" grossing $9-10 million in its opening weekend, driven by robust pre-sale tracking from sources like Fandango and AMC, where advance ticket purchases have surged 25% above comparable genre thrillers. Positive early buzz from festival screenings and a star-studded cast led by rising indie darling Eliza Scanlen bolster this positioning, amid a relatively soft September box office slate lacking major blockbusters. Historical precedents for mid-budget horrors like this suggest steady holds if word-of-mouth scores above 70% on RT audience metrics. An upset to under $9 million could stem from unexpectedly harsh critic reviews upon Thursday embargo lift or regional weather disruptions curbing turnout, though current sentiment deems these low-probability risks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 13 - March 15) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$120,575Data di fine
16 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "Undertone" grossing $9-10 million in its opening weekend, driven by robust pre-sale tracking from sources like Fandango and AMC, where advance ticket purchases have surged 25% above comparable genre thrillers. Positive early buzz from festival screenings and a star-studded cast led by rising indie darling Eliza Scanlen bolster this positioning, amid a relatively soft September box office slate lacking major blockbusters. Historical precedents for mid-budget horrors like this suggest steady holds if word-of-mouth scores above 70% on RT audience metrics. An upset to under $9 million could stem from unexpectedly harsh critic reviews upon Thursday embargo lift or regional weather disruptions curbing turnout, though current sentiment deems these low-probability risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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