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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

9%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

7%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$337 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

5%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

5%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

4%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$174 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the casting search in mid-May, led by veteran director Nina Gold in collaboration with Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened focus on British frontrunner Callum Turner. His recent Bafta-nominated turn in The Capture, high-profile roles in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, and consistent insider endorsements have anchored his 35% market-implied probability. Jacob Elordi’s Oscar nomination for Frankenstein and reported meetings with producers have fueled his 9% share as the primary challenger, while the broad field of contenders reflects an open process with no frontrunner securing overwhelming consensus. Upcoming auditions and potential announcements could quickly shift momentum ahead of any final decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,009
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the casting search in mid-May, led by veteran director Nina Gold in collaboration with Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened focus on British frontrunner Callum Turner. His recent Bafta-nominated turn in The Capture, high-profile roles in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, and consistent insider endorsements have anchored his 35% market-implied probability. Jacob Elordi’s Oscar nomination for Frankenstein and reported meetings with producers have fueled his 9% share as the primary challenger, while the broad field of contenders reflects an open process with no frontrunner securing overwhelming consensus. Upcoming auditions and potential announcements could quickly shift momentum ahead of any final decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,009
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next James Bond actor?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Callum Turner" a 35%, seguito da "James Norton" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 35¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Next James Bond actor?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Next James Bond actor?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next James Bond actor?" è "Callum Turner" a 35%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "James Norton" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next James Bond actor?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.