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icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Jack Lowden 41.8%

Callum Turner 19.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 19.4%

Jack Barton 9.4%

Polymarket

$968,136 Vol.

Jack Lowden 41.8%

Callum Turner 19.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 19.4%

Jack Barton 9.4%

Polymarket

$968,136 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$169,217 Vol.

42%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$73,152 Vol.

20%

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$444,647 Vol.

19%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$41,761 Vol.

9%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$15,141 Vol.

5%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$22,235 Vol.

4%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$11,023 Vol.

3%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$13,093 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$21,919 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$28,808 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$11,570 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$9,885 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$11,325 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$9,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$13,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$8,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$14,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$4,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$7,018 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$8,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$8,634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$8,016 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$5,929 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$5,695 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden leads trader sentiment for the next James Bond at 40.9% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who indicated a selection has been made and publicly backed the Scottish actor. Lowden’s experience portraying a spy in the Apple TV+ thriller has aligned with industry narratives around a younger, capable lead for Denis Villeneuve’s Bond 26, with screen tests and shortlist reports further fueling momentum. Callum Turner holds second at 19.9% amid his established name recognition and recent high-profile marriage, while the 19.4% chance of no choice yet reflects the absence of an official announcement expected by year-end. Emerging names like Jack Barton sit lower after early shortlist buzz, underscoring how casting director Nina Gold’s process and guild-adjacent buzz continue to shape real-money consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$968,136
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden leads trader sentiment for the next James Bond at 40.9% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who indicated a selection has been made and publicly backed the Scottish actor. Lowden’s experience portraying a spy in the Apple TV+ thriller has aligned with industry narratives around a younger, capable lead for Denis Villeneuve’s Bond 26, with screen tests and shortlist reports further fueling momentum. Callum Turner holds second at 19.9% amid his established name recognition and recent high-profile marriage, while the 19.4% chance of no choice yet reflects the absence of an official announcement expected by year-end. Emerging names like Jack Barton sit lower after early shortlist buzz, underscoring how casting director Nina Gold’s process and guild-adjacent buzz continue to shape real-money consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$968,136
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 24 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jack Lowden" a 42%, seguito da "Callum Turner" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $968.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 24 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Jack Lowden" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Callum Turner" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.