With the 2027 Oscars Best Picture market still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of upcoming releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 50%, while Dune: Part Three sits at 15.5% and La Bola Negra at 11.5%, underscoring how release timing, director pedigree, and early industry buzz shape positioning. Most other titles remain below 10%, highlighting the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals this far out. Key differentiators include production scale, critical anticipation, and historical Oscar trajectories for similar tentpoles, with momentum likely to shift once 2026 festival debuts and reviews arrive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 9%
$155,522 Vol.
$155,522 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
16%
La Bola Negra
12%
Wild Horse Nine
9%
Fjord
6%
The Debut
5%
Digger
4%
Project Hail Mary
2%
The Invite
1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Tony
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
<1%
Behemoth!
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Il dramma
<1%
Josephine
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 9%
$155,522 Vol.
$155,522 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
$105,034 Vol.
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
$14,286 Vol.
16%
La Bola Negra
$1,802 Vol.
12%
Wild Horse Nine
$6,364 Vol.
9%
Fjord
$3,686 Vol.
6%
The Debut
$3,680 Vol.
5%
Digger
$5,668 Vol.
4%
Project Hail Mary
$2,369 Vol.
2%
The Invite
$585 Vol.
1%
Avengers: Doomsday
$724 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$619 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$2,752 Vol.
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
$592 Vol.
<1%
Behemoth!
$2,639 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$558 Vol.
<1%
Il dramma
$543 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$669 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$567 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$554 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$573 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$721 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$538 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars Best Picture market still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of upcoming releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 50%, while Dune: Part Three sits at 15.5% and La Bola Negra at 11.5%, underscoring how release timing, director pedigree, and early industry buzz shape positioning. Most other titles remain below 10%, highlighting the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals this far out. Key differentiators include production scale, critical anticipation, and historical Oscar trajectories for similar tentpoles, with momentum likely to shift once 2026 festival debuts and reviews arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$155,522Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars Best Picture market still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of upcoming releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 50%, while Dune: Part Three sits at 15.5% and La Bola Negra at 11.5%, underscoring how release timing, director pedigree, and early industry buzz shape positioning. Most other titles remain below 10%, highlighting the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals this far out. Key differentiators include production scale, critical anticipation, and historical Oscar trajectories for similar tentpoles, with momentum likely to shift once 2026 festival debuts and reviews arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$155,522Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars Best Picture market still in its earliest phase, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of upcoming releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 50%, while Dune: Part Three sits at 15.5% and La Bola Negra at 11.5%, underscoring how release timing, director pedigree, and early industry buzz shape positioning. Most other titles remain below 10%, highlighting the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals this far out. Key differentiators include production scale, critical anticipation, and historical Oscar trajectories for similar tentpoles, with momentum likely to shift once 2026 festival debuts and reviews arrive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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