Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
TX-03 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
86%
Partito Democratico
15%
$13,567 Vol.
$13,567 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$7,642 Vol.
86%
Partito Democratico
$5,925 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,567Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,567Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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