President Trump signed an executive order on March 31 directing the Department of Homeland Security and U.S. Postal Service to compile state voter lists using citizenship data from the Social Security Administration, aiming to restrict mail-in ballots ahead of 2026 midterms. Democratic attorneys general from 23 states and the District of Columbia, along with the DNC, ACLU, NAACP, and other voting rights groups, filed lawsuits by early April challenging it as an unconstitutional overreach into state election authority, seeking immediate injunctions. As of April 19, no federal court has granted a block or preliminary injunction despite motions like NAACP's April 12 filing, with cases in early procedural stages amid typical judicial timelines for complex election matters. This delay underpins traders' 68.8% implied probability that the order avoids blockage in April, though hearings could shift dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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30 apr 2026
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30 apr 2026
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump signed an executive order on March 31 directing the Department of Homeland Security and U.S. Postal Service to compile state voter lists using citizenship data from the Social Security Administration, aiming to restrict mail-in ballots ahead of 2026 midterms. Democratic attorneys general from 23 states and the District of Columbia, along with the DNC, ACLU, NAACP, and other voting rights groups, filed lawsuits by early April challenging it as an unconstitutional overreach into state election authority, seeking immediate injunctions. As of April 19, no federal court has granted a block or preliminary injunction despite motions like NAACP's April 12 filing, with cases in early procedural stages amid typical judicial timelines for complex election matters. This delay underpins traders' 68.8% implied probability that the order avoids blockage in April, though hearings could shift dynamics.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$3,049Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump signed an executive order on March 31 directing the Department of Homeland Security and U.S. Postal Service to compile state voter lists using citizenship data from the Social Security Administration, aiming to restrict mail-in ballots ahead of 2026 midterms. Democratic attorneys general from 23 states and the District of Columbia, along with the DNC, ACLU, NAACP, and other voting rights groups, filed lawsuits by early April challenging it as an unconstitutional overreach into state election authority, seeking immediate injunctions. As of April 19, no federal court has granted a block or preliminary injunction despite motions like NAACP's April 12 filing, with cases in early procedural stages amid typical judicial timelines for complex election matters. This delay underpins traders' 68.8% implied probability that the order avoids blockage in April, though hearings could shift dynamics.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,049Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed an executive order on March 31 directing the Department of Homeland Security and U.S. Postal Service to compile state voter lists using citizenship data from the Social Security Administration, aiming to restrict mail-in ballots ahead of 2026 midterms. Democratic attorneys general from 23 states and the District of Columbia, along with the DNC, ACLU, NAACP, and other voting rights groups, filed lawsuits by early April challenging it as an unconstitutional overreach into state election authority, seeking immediate injunctions. As of April 19, no federal court has granted a block or preliminary injunction despite motions like NAACP's April 12 filing, with cases in early procedural stages amid typical judicial timelines for complex election matters. This delay underpins traders' 68.8% implied probability that the order avoids blockage in April, though hearings could shift dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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