The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on rape charges has sharply reduced the odds of further convictions, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward no additional prison time. After the jury deadlocked in mid-May 2026, Manhattan prosecutors signaled they are weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial, though Weinstein already faces a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual assault conviction and continues serving a 16-year California term from his 2022 conviction. At 74 and with documented health concerns, the cumulative effect of appeals, mistrials, and time already served has led traders to price in limited upside for extended sentences beyond his existing incarceration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa prigione di Harvey Weinstein?
La prigione di Harvey Weinstein?
Nessun periodo di carcere 76.0%
20-30 anni 8.0%
10-20 anni 6.2%
<5 anni 3.9%
$1,057,263 Vol.
$1,057,263 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Nessun periodo di carcere
76%
<5 anni
4%
5-10 anni
2%
10-20 anni
6%
20-30 anni
8%
Più di 30 anni
3%
Nessun periodo di carcere 76.0%
20-30 anni 8.0%
10-20 anni 6.2%
<5 anni 3.9%
$1,057,263 Vol.
$1,057,263 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Nessun periodo di carcere
$368,864 Vol.
76%
<5 anni
$138,666 Vol.
4%
5-10 anni
$88,360 Vol.
2%
10-20 anni
$167,420 Vol.
6%
20-30 anni
$210,666 Vol.
8%
Più di 30 anni
$83,288 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on rape charges has sharply reduced the odds of further convictions, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward no additional prison time. After the jury deadlocked in mid-May 2026, Manhattan prosecutors signaled they are weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial, though Weinstein already faces a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual assault conviction and continues serving a 16-year California term from his 2022 conviction. At 74 and with documented health concerns, the cumulative effect of appeals, mistrials, and time already served has led traders to price in limited upside for extended sentences beyond his existing incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,057,263Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on rape charges has sharply reduced the odds of further convictions, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward no additional prison time. After the jury deadlocked in mid-May 2026, Manhattan prosecutors signaled they are weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial, though Weinstein already faces a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual assault conviction and continues serving a 16-year California term from his 2022 conviction. At 74 and with documented health concerns, the cumulative effect of appeals, mistrials, and time already served has led traders to price in limited upside for extended sentences beyond his existing incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,057,263Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York retrial on rape charges has sharply reduced the odds of further convictions, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward no additional prison time. After the jury deadlocked in mid-May 2026, Manhattan prosecutors signaled they are weighing whether to pursue a fourth trial, though Weinstein already faces a pending New York sentencing on a separate sexual assault conviction and continues serving a 16-year California term from his 2022 conviction. At 74 and with documented health concerns, the cumulative effect of appeals, mistrials, and time already served has led traders to price in limited upside for extended sentences beyond his existing incarceration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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