US prosecutors added conspiracy-to-torture charges against Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores in early October 2026, building on the narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking indictment tied to his January 2026 capture during a US military raid. The Manhattan federal trial is set for June 2027, with convictions carrying mandatory minimum sentences of 50 years or more. Defense motions argue head-of-state immunity and challenge the legality of the raid, while prosecutors maintain no such protections apply to former officials of an unrecognized government. These proceedings, combined with the extended pretrial timeline and unresolved legal questions, underpin trader consensus around no prison time as the leading outcome, though substantial odds on 60+ years reflect the severity of the charges if the case proceeds to conviction.