Trader consensus favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his U.S. narcoterrorism, cocaine trafficking, and arms trafficking case, reflecting pre-trial hurdles rather than a full acquittal. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and pleading not guilty, Maduro faces a superseding indictment in New York federal court under Judge Alvin Hellerstein. The March 26 hearing rejected his dismissal motion over legal fees—blocked by U.S. sanctions on Venezuela—yet highlighted evidentiary challenges for prosecutors under the rarely successful narcoterrorism statute, requiring proof of Maduro's knowledge of drug proceeds funding terrorist groups. No trial date is set amid motions and detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, tempering expectations for conviction on every charge before the December 31, 2027, resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$101,438 Vol.
$101,438 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sì
$101,438 Vol.
$101,438 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his U.S. narcoterrorism, cocaine trafficking, and arms trafficking case, reflecting pre-trial hurdles rather than a full acquittal. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and pleading not guilty, Maduro faces a superseding indictment in New York federal court under Judge Alvin Hellerstein. The March 26 hearing rejected his dismissal motion over legal fees—blocked by U.S. sanctions on Venezuela—yet highlighted evidentiary challenges for prosecutors under the rarely successful narcoterrorism statute, requiring proof of Maduro's knowledge of drug proceeds funding terrorist groups. No trial date is set amid motions and detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, tempering expectations for conviction on every charge before the December 31, 2027, resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$101,438Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his U.S. narcoterrorism, cocaine trafficking, and arms trafficking case, reflecting pre-trial hurdles rather than a full acquittal. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and pleading not guilty, Maduro faces a superseding indictment in New York federal court under Judge Alvin Hellerstein. The March 26 hearing rejected his dismissal motion over legal fees—blocked by U.S. sanctions on Venezuela—yet highlighted evidentiary challenges for prosecutors under the rarely successful narcoterrorism statute, requiring proof of Maduro's knowledge of drug proceeds funding terrorist groups. No trial date is set amid motions and detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, tempering expectations for conviction on every charge before the December 31, 2027, resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,438Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his U.S. narcoterrorism, cocaine trafficking, and arms trafficking case, reflecting pre-trial hurdles rather than a full acquittal. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and pleading not guilty, Maduro faces a superseding indictment in New York federal court under Judge Alvin Hellerstein. The March 26 hearing rejected his dismissal motion over legal fees—blocked by U.S. sanctions on Venezuela—yet highlighted evidentiary challenges for prosecutors under the rarely successful narcoterrorism statute, requiring proof of Maduro's knowledge of drug proceeds funding terrorist groups. No trial date is set amid motions and detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, tempering expectations for conviction on every charge before the December 31, 2027, resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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