Romania's parliament passed a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European minority government on May 5, 2026, securing 281 votes in the 465-seat bicameral assembly—well above the 233 required—prompting its immediate collapse. The motion, tabled last week by the Social Democratic Party (PSD) alongside far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) support amid coalition rupture, reflects deepening political divisions following recent elections. Trader consensus at 100% "Yes" mirrors this confirmed outcome from official tallies, embodying the wisdom of crowds on Polymarket. While resolution awaits final procedural verification by May 31, realistic shifts are improbable barring extraordinary legal challenges or recounts, with President Nicușor Dan now tasked with nominating a new prime minister ahead of 2028 elections.