The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others across regions. This setup, combined with new adult voters entering the rolls and scheduled advance voting windows, has shaped trader views on turnout. Historical provincial rates near 66% in 2018 and 2022 provide the baseline, while factors such as voter interest in cost-of-living and sovereignty issues, lower participation patterns among younger and Indigenous electors, and French-only election mailings introduce modest uncertainty. The close spread between 66-70% and 70-74% brackets reflects these countervailing pressures without a dominant catalyst to push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato66-70% 29%
70-74% 24%
62-66% 20%
74%+ 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<58%
9%
58-62%
11%
62-66%
20%
66-70%
31%
70-74%
28%
74%+
9%
66-70% 29%
70-74% 24%
62-66% 20%
74%+ 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<58%
$374 Vol.
9%
58-62%
$100 Vol.
11%
62-66%
$103 Vol.
20%
66-70%
$191 Vol.
31%
70-74%
$169 Vol.
28%
74%+
$233 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others across regions. This setup, combined with new adult voters entering the rolls and scheduled advance voting windows, has shaped trader views on turnout. Historical provincial rates near 66% in 2018 and 2022 provide the baseline, while factors such as voter interest in cost-of-living and sovereignty issues, lower participation patterns among younger and Indigenous electors, and French-only election mailings introduce modest uncertainty. The close spread between 66-70% and 70-74% brackets reflects these countervailing pressures without a dominant catalyst to push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,170Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others across regions. This setup, combined with new adult voters entering the rolls and scheduled advance voting windows, has shaped trader views on turnout. Historical provincial rates near 66% in 2018 and 2022 provide the baseline, while factors such as voter interest in cost-of-living and sovereignty issues, lower participation patterns among younger and Indigenous electors, and French-only election mailings introduce modest uncertainty. The close spread between 66-70% and 70-74% brackets reflects these countervailing pressures without a dominant catalyst to push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,170Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a fragmented multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others across regions. This setup, combined with new adult voters entering the rolls and scheduled advance voting windows, has shaped trader views on turnout. Historical provincial rates near 66% in 2018 and 2022 provide the baseline, while factors such as voter interest in cost-of-living and sovereignty issues, lower participation patterns among younger and Indigenous electors, and French-only election mailings introduce modest uncertainty. The close spread between 66-70% and 70-74% brackets reflects these countervailing pressures without a dominant catalyst to push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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