Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds polling leads over top Republican challengers in the only public survey to date, a February FM3 Research poll showing her ahead of Christine Drazan 45-40%, Ed Diehl 43-37%, and Chris Dudley 45-35% among likely voters, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic victory on November 3. Oregon's May 19 primaries loom, with Kotek facing minimal Democratic opposition while a crowded Republican field—including Drazan, Dudley, Diehl, and Danielle Bethell—unified in last week's debate to criticize Kotek's record on taxes, housing, and public safety without notable consolidation. Oregon's Democratic lean, unbroken Republican gubernatorial drought since 1986, and incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds despite Kotek's mixed approval ratings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,548 Vol.
$12,548 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
87%
Repubblicano
14%
$12,548 Vol.
$12,548 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$6,336 Vol.
87%
Repubblicano
$6,212 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds polling leads over top Republican challengers in the only public survey to date, a February FM3 Research poll showing her ahead of Christine Drazan 45-40%, Ed Diehl 43-37%, and Chris Dudley 45-35% among likely voters, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic victory on November 3. Oregon's May 19 primaries loom, with Kotek facing minimal Democratic opposition while a crowded Republican field—including Drazan, Dudley, Diehl, and Danielle Bethell—unified in last week's debate to criticize Kotek's record on taxes, housing, and public safety without notable consolidation. Oregon's Democratic lean, unbroken Republican gubernatorial drought since 1986, and incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds despite Kotek's mixed approval ratings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$12,548Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds polling leads over top Republican challengers in the only public survey to date, a February FM3 Research poll showing her ahead of Christine Drazan 45-40%, Ed Diehl 43-37%, and Chris Dudley 45-35% among likely voters, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic victory on November 3. Oregon's May 19 primaries loom, with Kotek facing minimal Democratic opposition while a crowded Republican field—including Drazan, Dudley, Diehl, and Danielle Bethell—unified in last week's debate to criticize Kotek's record on taxes, housing, and public safety without notable consolidation. Oregon's Democratic lean, unbroken Republican gubernatorial drought since 1986, and incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds despite Kotek's mixed approval ratings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,548Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds polling leads over top Republican challengers in the only public survey to date, a February FM3 Research poll showing her ahead of Christine Drazan 45-40%, Ed Diehl 43-37%, and Chris Dudley 45-35% among likely voters, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic victory on November 3. Oregon's May 19 primaries loom, with Kotek facing minimal Democratic opposition while a crowded Republican field—including Drazan, Dudley, Diehl, and Danielle Bethell—unified in last week's debate to criticize Kotek's record on taxes, housing, and public safety without notable consolidation. Oregon's Democratic lean, unbroken Republican gubernatorial drought since 1986, and incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds despite Kotek's mixed approval ratings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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