Skip to main content
icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 Vol.

John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$2,167,157 Vol.

No

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$829,319 Vol.

Yes

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$2,035,489 Vol.

No

icon for John Cornyn

John Cornyn

$651,008 Vol.

No

icon for Joni Ernst

Joni Ernst

$1,517,584 Vol.

No

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$3,216,833 Vol.

No

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$3,005,847 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Volume
$13,423,238
Mercato aperto
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Volume
$13,423,238
Mercato aperto
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "John Thune" a 100%, seguito da "JD Vance" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ha generato $13.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 6, 2024. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Senate Majority Leader?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Senate Majority Leader?" è "John Thune" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "JD Vance" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Senate Majority Leader?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.