Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $6-7 million opening weekend for Neon's supernatural horror Hokum (58.5% implied probability), propelled by Thursday previews hauling in $900,000—Neon's second-best ever, surpassing Immaculate—signaling robust interest in Adam Scott's folk-horror tale amid SXSW buzz and solid 87% Rotten Tomatoes fresh rating. A B CinemaScore supports word-of-mouth potential, positioning it for fifth or sixth place counter-programming against Devil Wears Prada 2's dominance. Earlier tracking pegged 3-5 million, but preview strength shifted sentiment toward mid-single digits, with 5-6 million (22.5%) and 7-8 million (22%) as close contenders; final Friday-Sunday tallies through May 3 will confirm trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office
6-7m 72%
5-6m 19%
7-8m 12%
<5m 5.5%
<5m
6%
5-6m
14%
6-7m
72%
7-8m
12%
>8m
1%
6-7m 72%
5-6m 19%
7-8m 12%
<5m 5.5%
<5m
6%
5-6m
14%
6-7m
72%
7-8m
12%
>8m
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $6-7 million opening weekend for Neon's supernatural horror Hokum (58.5% implied probability), propelled by Thursday previews hauling in $900,000—Neon's second-best ever, surpassing Immaculate—signaling robust interest in Adam Scott's folk-horror tale amid SXSW buzz and solid 87% Rotten Tomatoes fresh rating. A B CinemaScore supports word-of-mouth potential, positioning it for fifth or sixth place counter-programming against Devil Wears Prada 2's dominance. Earlier tracking pegged 3-5 million, but preview strength shifted sentiment toward mid-single digits, with 5-6 million (22.5%) and 7-8 million (22%) as close contenders; final Friday-Sunday tallies through May 3 will confirm trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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