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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Nessun Bond scelto 88%

Callum Turner 3.7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.1%

Harris Dickinson 2.8%

Polymarket

$2,938,829 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto 88%

Callum Turner 3.7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.1%

Harris Dickinson 2.8%

Polymarket

$2,938,829 Vol.

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$292,724 Vol.

88%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$154,595 Vol.

4%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$155,090 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$217,991 Vol.

3%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,124 Vol.

3%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$282,651 Vol.

2%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,341 Vol.

1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$147,354 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$59,235 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$126,606 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$251,296 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$175,306 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$248,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$265,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$59,124 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability that no actor has been selected yet reflects the official start of the casting process only in May 2026, after years of speculation following Daniel Craig’s exit. Amazon MGM Studios has confirmed auditions under director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with the next film eyed for a 2028 release, allowing ample time for a deliberate search. Recent buzz has briefly elevated names like Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi through reported meetings and bookie shifts, yet none have secured confirmed frontrunner status amid a broad field that includes Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Harris Dickinson. Industry observers note the franchise’s emphasis on a younger British or British-adjacent lead and the value of a long campaign, keeping any single contender from dominating trader consensus until guild or precursor signals emerge closer to production.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,938,829
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability that no actor has been selected yet reflects the official start of the casting process only in May 2026, after years of speculation following Daniel Craig’s exit. Amazon MGM Studios has confirmed auditions under director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with the next film eyed for a 2028 release, allowing ample time for a deliberate search. Recent buzz has briefly elevated names like Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi through reported meetings and bookie shifts, yet none have secured confirmed frontrunner status amid a broad field that includes Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Harris Dickinson. Industry observers note the franchise’s emphasis on a younger British or British-adjacent lead and the value of a long campaign, keeping any single contender from dominating trader consensus until guild or precursor signals emerge closer to production.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,938,829
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 88%, seguito da "Callum Turner" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $2.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Callum Turner" a 4%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.