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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Market icon

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Nessun Bond scelto 65%

Callum Turner 23%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,813,190 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto 65%

Callum Turner 23%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,813,190 Vol.

Nessuno annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Nessun Bond scelto

$249,513 Vol.

65%

Callum Turner annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Callum Turner

$121,940 Vol.

23%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$98,791 Vol.

6%

Jacob Elordi annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Jacob Elordi

$235,143 Vol.

2%

Theo James annunciato come il prossimo James Bond? icon

Theo James

$26,961 Vol.

2%

Henry Cavill annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Henry Cavill

$250,872 Vol.

2%

Paul Mescal annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Paul Mescal

$100,869 Vol.

1%

James Norton annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

James Norton

$110,777 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hardy annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Tom Hardy

$75,832 Vol.

<1%

Jack Lowdon annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Jack Lowdon

$83,185 Vol.

<1%

Josh O'Connor annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,687 Vol.

<1%

Harris Dickinson annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Harris Dickinson

$148,199 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Brosnan annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Pierce Brosnan

$180,036 Vol.

<1%

Tom Holland annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Tom Holland

$70,260 Vol.

<1%

James Collier annunciato come prossimo James Bond? icon

Robert James-Collier

$29,122 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amazon MGM Studios executives, speaking at CinemaCon on April 15, urged patience on the next James Bond casting for Bond 26, with head of film Courtenay Valenti stressing a deliberate process "with care and deep respect" amid director Denis Villeneuve's involvement and a 2028 release target—cementing trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for no Bond chosen before market resolution. Persistent industry buzz positions Callum Turner as the actor frontrunner at 23%, fueled by reports of his alignment with Villeneuve's vision and rising profile from Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's earlier momentum has cooled to 6.1% amid shifting narratives toward fresher faces like Jacob Elordi. Secretive producer decisions and historical franchise reboots underscore the uncertainty, with script finalization by Steven Knight a key upcoming milestone.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,813,190
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amazon MGM Studios executives, speaking at CinemaCon on April 15, urged patience on the next James Bond casting for Bond 26, with head of film Courtenay Valenti stressing a deliberate process "with care and deep respect" amid director Denis Villeneuve's involvement and a 2028 release target—cementing trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for no Bond chosen before market resolution. Persistent industry buzz positions Callum Turner as the actor frontrunner at 23%, fueled by reports of his alignment with Villeneuve's vision and rising profile from Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's earlier momentum has cooled to 6.1% amid shifting narratives toward fresher faces like Jacob Elordi. Secretive producer decisions and historical franchise reboots underscore the uncertainty, with script finalization by Steven Knight a key upcoming milestone.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,813,190
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 65%, seguito da "Callum Turner" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $1.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Callum Turner" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.