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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Politica·Trump

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Politica·Trump

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

47% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
47% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing intraparty tensions and recurring health scrutiny have created a balanced market at even odds for Sen. John Fetterman’s departure from the Senate by the end of 2026. Recent Democratic criticism over his votes on Trump nominees and independent stances has fueled calls for resignation from some Pennsylvania progressives, while his May 2026 Washington Post op-ed reaffirmed commitment to the party and constituents. Persistent questions about fitness, staff turnover including a chief of staff departure, and past health episodes continue to weigh on assessments. Scheduled events such as potential 2028 primary dynamics or further legislative cross-aisle actions could shift probabilities, as could any new medical developments within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$795
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing intraparty tensions and recurring health scrutiny have created a balanced market at even odds for Sen. John Fetterman’s departure from the Senate by the end of 2026. Recent Democratic criticism over his votes on Trump nominees and independent stances has fueled calls for resignation from some Pennsylvania progressives, while his May 2026 Washington Post op-ed reaffirmed commitment to the party and constituents. Persistent questions about fitness, staff turnover including a chief of staff departure, and past health episodes continue to weigh on assessments. Scheduled events such as potential 2028 primary dynamics or further legislative cross-aisle actions could shift probabilities, as could any new medical developments within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$795
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 47% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 47¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Nov 15, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" è 47% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 47% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.