Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat into safer Democratic territory, supported by voter registration advantages and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic contenders alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural edge. Trader assessments incorporate historical midterm patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Low-probability shifts could still arise from a major scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the final months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$771 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$4,486 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat into safer Democratic territory, supported by voter registration advantages and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic contenders alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural edge. Trader assessments incorporate historical midterm patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Low-probability shifts could still arise from a major scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,257Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat into safer Democratic territory, supported by voter registration advantages and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic contenders alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural edge. Trader assessments incorporate historical midterm patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Low-probability shifts could still arise from a major scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,257Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat into safer Democratic territory, supported by voter registration advantages and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic contenders alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural edge. Trader assessments incorporate historical midterm patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Low-probability shifts could still arise from a major scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in the final months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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