The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 12th Congressional District produced a general election matchup between two Democratic candidates, incumbent Lateefah Simon and Jamie Joyce, after Republican write-in efforts fell short. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic based on its voter composition and historical results, creating a structural barrier for any Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates this outcome and the absence of competitive opposition in November. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen shift such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly within the remaining campaign window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-12
$40,929 Vol.
$40,929 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$40,929 Vol.
$40,929 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$24,042 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$16,887 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 12th Congressional District produced a general election matchup between two Democratic candidates, incumbent Lateefah Simon and Jamie Joyce, after Republican write-in efforts fell short. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic based on its voter composition and historical results, creating a structural barrier for any Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates this outcome and the absence of competitive opposition in November. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen shift such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$40,929Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 12th Congressional District produced a general election matchup between two Democratic candidates, incumbent Lateefah Simon and Jamie Joyce, after Republican write-in efforts fell short. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic based on its voter composition and historical results, creating a structural barrier for any Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates this outcome and the absence of competitive opposition in November. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen shift such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,929Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 12th Congressional District produced a general election matchup between two Democratic candidates, incumbent Lateefah Simon and Jamie Joyce, after Republican write-in efforts fell short. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic based on its voter composition and historical results, creating a structural barrier for any Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates this outcome and the absence of competitive opposition in November. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen shift such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly within the remaining campaign window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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