balthazar

Iscritto gen 2025·36.4K visualizzazioni

$333.1K

Valore posizioni

$107.5K

Vincita più grande

85,404

Mercati negoziati

PnL totale: +$1.1M
Volume totale: 75.6M

Profitto/Perdita

$5,802.67

Ultimo giorno

Mercato

Media

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 azioni

50¢

90.5¢

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 azioni

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,182.3 azioni

84.7¢

77.8¢

$31,261.82-$2,782.43 (-8.17%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,182.3 azioni

$31,261.82-$2,782.43 (-8.17%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 azioni

77.8¢

86.8¢

$15,445.11$1,599.29 (11.55%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 azioni

$15,445.11$1,599.29 (11.55%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 azioni

81.5¢

79.5¢

$11,724.93-$291.05 (-2.42%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 azioni

$11,724.93-$291.05 (-2.42%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 azioni

69.5¢

77.5¢

$9,486.38$975.63 (11.46%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 azioni

$9,486.38$975.63 (11.46%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

45,606.5 azioni

11.1¢

20.5¢

$9,349.34$4,278.74 (84.38%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

45,606.5 azioni

$9,349.34$4,278.74 (84.38%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 azioni

63.8¢

90.5¢

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 azioni

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 azioni

33.7¢

69.5¢

$6,015.84$3,101.74 (106.44%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 azioni

$6,015.84$3,101.74 (106.44%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 azioni

61.7¢

86.5¢

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 azioni

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 azioni

50¢

9.5¢

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 azioni

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 azioni

78.2¢

91.5¢

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 azioni

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.4¢

5,424.7 azioni

75.4¢

77.5¢

$4,204.11$111.90 (2.73%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.4¢

5,424.7 azioni

$4,204.11$111.90 (2.73%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 azioni

91.8¢

96.7¢

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 azioni

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 azioni

62.7¢

86.5¢

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 azioni

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 azioni

26.4¢

22.5¢

$3,149.67-$549.50 (-14.85%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 azioni

$3,149.67-$549.50 (-14.85%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 azioni

64.5¢

97.4¢

$2,667.26$898.70 (50.82%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 azioni

$2,667.26$898.70 (50.82%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 azioni

95.3¢

98.4¢

$2,635.09$81.04 (3.17%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 azioni

$2,635.09$81.04 (3.17%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 azioni

11.6¢

18.5¢

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 azioni

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 azioni

20.1¢

12.5¢

$2,287.73-$1,382.58 (-37.67%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 azioni

$2,287.73-$1,382.58 (-37.67%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 azioni

90.8¢

80.5¢

$2,010.44-$257.23 (-11.34%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 azioni

$2,010.44-$257.23 (-11.34%)