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Tarif Repo prediksi & peluang

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South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

87%

Increase

$10.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

98%

No Change

$5.7K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

60%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$137K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

28%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$133K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.4K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

62%

No change

$358 Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

89%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$158K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

80%

No change

$16.3K Vol.

$264K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

86%

No Change

$30.4K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

94%

No change

$6M Vol.

$762K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

50%

25 bps increase

$49 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

27%

October Meeting

$149K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

53%

No change

$524 Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$31M Vol.

$840K today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Russia decision in July?

Bank of Russia decision in July?

74%

Decrease

$824 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

10%

$105K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

84%

25 bps Increase

$275K Vol.

$71.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

32%

$1M Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

85%

Decrease

$50.8K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

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Polymarket saat ini memiliki 102 market aktif untuk Tarif Repo yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $48.0M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Fed Decision in June?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "Fed Decision in June?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 98% untuk No change. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Tarif Repo yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.