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Campur Tangan Pemilu prediksi & peluang

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Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

3%

$99.4K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

34

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

14%

$21.3K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

62%

Nothing

$341K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

15

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

10

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

45%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

39%

$8.1K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$89 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

31

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$536K Liq.

178

Ends in 6 months

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Campur Tangan Pemilu.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 101 market aktif untuk Campur Tangan Pemilu yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "Trump declares election interference national emergency? ". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $591.9M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Trump declares election interference national emergency? ". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Presidential Election Winner 2028," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "Presidential Election Winner 2028," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 19% untuk JD Vance. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Campur Tangan Pemilu yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.