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icon for US strikes Iran by...?

US strikes Iran by...?

icon for US strikes Iran by...?

US strikes Iran by...?

$529,033,417 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$529,033,417 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$19,193 Vol.

No

January 11

$3,035,454 Vol.

No

January 12

$1,743,135 Vol.

No

January 13

$3,335,543 Vol.

No

January 14

$13,619,742 Vol.

No

January 15

$7,975,002 Vol.

No

January 16

$8,491,723 Vol.

No

January 17

$3,823,998 Vol.

No

January 18

$5,468,913 Vol.

No

January 23

$12,296,618 Vol.

No

January 24

$2,924,662 Vol.

No

January 25

$2,703,692 Vol.

No

January 26

$6,908,538 Vol.

No

January 27

$2,498,074 Vol.

No

January 28

$1,950,685 Vol.

No

January 29

$3,064,539 Vol.

No

January 30

$3,469,659 Vol.

No

January 31

$41,754,060 Vol.

No

February 1

$6,629,658 Vol.

No

February 2

$4,246,232 Vol.

No

February 3

$3,763,165 Vol.

No

February 4

$3,844,340 Vol.

No

February 5

$4,461,531 Vol.

No

February 6

$9,750,256 Vol.

No

February 7

$3,615,405 Vol.

No

February 8

$3,821,142 Vol.

No

February 9

$17,561,112 Vol.

No

February 10

$10,496,937 Vol.

No

February 11

$4,493,524 Vol.

No

February 12

$4,187,886 Vol.

No

February 13

$15,146,244 Vol.

No

February 14

$4,140,716 Vol.

No

February 15

$4,542,348 Vol.

No

February 16

$4,855,990 Vol.

No

February 17

$5,599,406 Vol.

No

February 18

$7,408,763 Vol.

No

February 19

$8,798,853 Vol.

No

February 20

$18,810,054 Vol.

No

February 21

$12,250,013 Vol.

No

February 22

$12,611,170 Vol.

No

February 23

$14,022,419 Vol.

No

February 24

$16,942,274 Vol.

No

February 25

$10,517,389 Vol.

No

February 26

$14,489,547 Vol.

No

February 27

$25,087,849 Vol.

No

February 28

$89,652,867 Vol.

Yes

March 1

$8,093,539 Vol.

Yes

March 2

$3,812,922 Vol.

Yes

March 3

$1,917,863 Vol.

Yes

March 4

$1,376,485 Vol.

Yes

March 5

$1,565,799 Vol.

Yes

March 6

$1,008,204 Vol.

Yes

March 7

$2,470,666 Vol.

Yes

March 8

$539,454 Vol.

Yes

March 9

$379,810 Vol.

Yes

March 10

$269,970 Vol.

Yes

March 11

$190,483 Vol.

Yes

March 12

$197,658 Vol.

Yes

March 13

$283,107 Vol.

Yes

March 14

$357,946 Vol.

Yes

March 15

$6,642,886 Vol.

Yes

March 31

$22,213,247 Vol.

Yes

June 30

$9,193,272 Vol.

Yes

December 31

$1,689,785 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$529,033,417
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$529,033,417
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"US strikes Iran by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 64+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "February 28" di 100%, diikuti oleh "March 1" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "US strikes Iran by...?" telah menghasilkan $529 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "US strikes Iran by...?," jelajahi 64+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "US strikes Iran by...?" adalah "February 28" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "March 1" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "US strikes Iran by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.