Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to secure the most seats in the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by seat projections showing a likely PQ majority despite vote intentions tied at 32% each with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in the May 5 Liaison Strategies poll. PQ's regional strengths outside Montreal yield 60-70 seats in 338Canada and Qc125 models, versus PLQ's 40-50 concentrated in urban areas under first-past-the-post rules. CAQ at 8.5% reflects its post-Legault resignation slump and limited rebound under new premier Christine Fréchette since April 15, with support at 16%. PCQ, PVQ, and QS trail far behind amid tightening polls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
Pemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
PQ 64%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$489,154 Vol.
$489,154 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
64%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 64%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$489,154 Vol.
$489,154 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$50,783 Vol.
64%
PLQ
$55,723 Vol.
30%
CAQ
$55,520 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$159,370 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$113,039 Vol.
<1%
QS
$54,720 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to secure the most seats in the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by seat projections showing a likely PQ majority despite vote intentions tied at 32% each with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in the May 5 Liaison Strategies poll. PQ's regional strengths outside Montreal yield 60-70 seats in 338Canada and Qc125 models, versus PLQ's 40-50 concentrated in urban areas under first-past-the-post rules. CAQ at 8.5% reflects its post-Legault resignation slump and limited rebound under new premier Christine Fréchette since April 15, with support at 16%. PCQ, PVQ, and QS trail far behind amid tightening polls.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$489,154Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to secure the most seats in the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by seat projections showing a likely PQ majority despite vote intentions tied at 32% each with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in the May 5 Liaison Strategies poll. PQ's regional strengths outside Montreal yield 60-70 seats in 338Canada and Qc125 models, versus PLQ's 40-50 concentrated in urban areas under first-past-the-post rules. CAQ at 8.5% reflects its post-Legault resignation slump and limited rebound under new premier Christine Fréchette since April 15, with support at 16%. PCQ, PVQ, and QS trail far behind amid tightening polls.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$489,154Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to secure the most seats in the October 2026 Quebec general election, driven by seat projections showing a likely PQ majority despite vote intentions tied at 32% each with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in the May 5 Liaison Strategies poll. PQ's regional strengths outside Montreal yield 60-70 seats in 338Canada and Qc125 models, versus PLQ's 40-50 concentrated in urban areas under first-past-the-post rules. CAQ at 8.5% reflects its post-Legault resignation slump and limited rebound under new premier Christine Fréchette since April 15, with support at 16%. PCQ, PVQ, and QS trail far behind amid tightening polls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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