The Parti Québécois holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for forming Quebec’s next government because multiple May polls place it narrowly ahead or tied in vote share with the Quebec Liberal Party while projecting a stronger path to a seat majority under first-past-the-post rules, particularly among Francophone voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban and non-Francophone ridings, keeping their implied probability in the mid-20s. The Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains since Christine Fréchette became leader in April, lifting the party into the low-20s in the most recent surveys and explaining its 18 percent market share, yet it trails the top two. Minor parties show negligible movement. With the fixed election date in early October, traders appear to be pricing the PQ’s consistent polling lead and seat math as the dominant near-term signal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
Pemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,771 Vol.
$536,771 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
57%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
18%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$536,771 Vol.
$536,771 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$55,261 Vol.
57%
PLQ
$57,917 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$66,116 Vol.
18%
PCQ
$166,468 Vol.
1%
QS
$69,240 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$121,768 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for forming Quebec’s next government because multiple May polls place it narrowly ahead or tied in vote share with the Quebec Liberal Party while projecting a stronger path to a seat majority under first-past-the-post rules, particularly among Francophone voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban and non-Francophone ridings, keeping their implied probability in the mid-20s. The Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains since Christine Fréchette became leader in April, lifting the party into the low-20s in the most recent surveys and explaining its 18 percent market share, yet it trails the top two. Minor parties show negligible movement. With the fixed election date in early October, traders appear to be pricing the PQ’s consistent polling lead and seat math as the dominant near-term signal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$536,771Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for forming Quebec’s next government because multiple May polls place it narrowly ahead or tied in vote share with the Quebec Liberal Party while projecting a stronger path to a seat majority under first-past-the-post rules, particularly among Francophone voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban and non-Francophone ridings, keeping their implied probability in the mid-20s. The Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains since Christine Fréchette became leader in April, lifting the party into the low-20s in the most recent surveys and explaining its 18 percent market share, yet it trails the top two. Minor parties show negligible movement. With the fixed election date in early October, traders appear to be pricing the PQ’s consistent polling lead and seat math as the dominant near-term signal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$536,771Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for forming Quebec’s next government because multiple May polls place it narrowly ahead or tied in vote share with the Quebec Liberal Party while projecting a stronger path to a seat majority under first-past-the-post rules, particularly among Francophone voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban and non-Francophone ridings, keeping their implied probability in the mid-20s. The Coalition Avenir Québec has posted modest gains since Christine Fréchette became leader in April, lifting the party into the low-20s in the most recent surveys and explaining its 18 percent market share, yet it trails the top two. Minor parties show negligible movement. With the fixed election date in early October, traders appear to be pricing the PQ’s consistent polling lead and seat math as the dominant near-term signal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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