Recent polls for Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, AfD, CDU and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the mid-to-high teens, producing a fragmented field that leaves second place unresolved. Linke has posted modest gains in the most recent surveys while AfD and CDU trade narrow leads depending on the pollster, and the Greens remain competitive but slightly behind. With the five-percent threshold and coalition arithmetic excluding the AfD shaping strategic voting, traders see limited separation until late-campaign events, turnout differentials or final-weekend shifts clarify the ordering among these four parties.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLinke 31%
AfD 27%
CDU 25%
Grüne 12%
$17,786 Vol.
$17,786 Vol.

Linke
37%

AfD
27%

CDU
25%

Grüne
12%

SPD
1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
Linke 31%
AfD 27%
CDU 25%
Grüne 12%
$17,786 Vol.
$17,786 Vol.

Linke
37%

AfD
27%

CDU
25%

Grüne
12%

SPD
1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, AfD, CDU and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another in the mid-to-high teens, producing a fragmented field that leaves second place unresolved. Linke has posted modest gains in the most recent surveys while AfD and CDU trade narrow leads depending on the pollster, and the Greens remain competitive but slightly behind. With the five-percent threshold and coalition arithmetic excluding the AfD shaping strategic voting, traders see limited separation until late-campaign events, turnout differentials or final-weekend shifts clarify the ordering among these four parties.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan