Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke often leading, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the mid-to-high teens. This leaves third place highly contested among those three parties, with recent surveys indicating shifts driven by voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of infrastructure issues and broader national trends favoring AfD gains. Traders reflect this uncertainty through closely aligned probabilities for CDU, AfD, and Grüne, as final turnout, late campaign dynamics, and minor party performance could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCDU 31%
AfD 31%
Grüne 29%
Linke 8%
$21,518 Vol.
$21,518 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
31%
AfD
31%
Grüne
29%
Linke
8%
SPD
6%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 31%
AfD 31%
Grüne 29%
Linke 8%
$21,518 Vol.
$21,518 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$5,196 Vol.
31%
AfD
$5,074 Vol.
31%
Grüne
$3,453 Vol.
29%
Linke
$4,520 Vol.
8%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
6%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke often leading, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the mid-to-high teens. This leaves third place highly contested among those three parties, with recent surveys indicating shifts driven by voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of infrastructure issues and broader national trends favoring AfD gains. Traders reflect this uncertainty through closely aligned probabilities for CDU, AfD, and Grüne, as final turnout, late campaign dynamics, and minor party performance could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$21,518Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke often leading, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the mid-to-high teens. This leaves third place highly contested among those three parties, with recent surveys indicating shifts driven by voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of infrastructure issues and broader national trends favoring AfD gains. Traders reflect this uncertainty through closely aligned probabilities for CDU, AfD, and Grüne, as final turnout, late campaign dynamics, and minor party performance could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$21,518Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke often leading, followed by a tight cluster of CDU, AfD, and Grüne in the mid-to-high teens. This leaves third place highly contested among those three parties, with recent surveys indicating shifts driven by voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of infrastructure issues and broader national trends favoring AfD gains. Traders reflect this uncertainty through closely aligned probabilities for CDU, AfD, and Grüne, as final turnout, late campaign dynamics, and minor party performance could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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