Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary and heads into the November general election with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a party hold. McGovern’s long tenure since 1997, combined with limited organized Republican opposition and no major challengers filing, reinforces the structural advantage. An unanticipated late Republican surge, health-related withdrawal, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current filing status and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to such a change before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,232 Vol.
$63,232 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,232 Vol.
$63,232 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$35,224 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,007 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary and heads into the November general election with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a party hold. McGovern’s long tenure since 1997, combined with limited organized Republican opposition and no major challengers filing, reinforces the structural advantage. An unanticipated late Republican surge, health-related withdrawal, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current filing status and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to such a change before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,232Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary and heads into the November general election with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a party hold. McGovern’s long tenure since 1997, combined with limited organized Republican opposition and no major challengers filing, reinforces the structural advantage. An unanticipated late Republican surge, health-related withdrawal, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current filing status and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to such a change before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,232Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary and heads into the November general election with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a party hold. McGovern’s long tenure since 1997, combined with limited organized Republican opposition and no major challengers filing, reinforces the structural advantage. An unanticipated late Republican surge, health-related withdrawal, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current filing status and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to such a change before election day.
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