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Politik·Primer

IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

$8,315 Vol.

Polymarket

$8,315 Vol.

Sean Casten

$8,315 Vol.

Yes

Joey Ruzevich

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sean Casten's commanding lead in the IL-06 Democratic primary stems from his status as the three-term incumbent congressman, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $3 million, key endorsements from party leaders, and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic suburban Chicago district. His landslide projected win on March 19—securing about 74% of the vote against Joey Ruzevich's 15%—has locked in trader consensus at virtually 100%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his nomination. While certification remains pending, realistic challenges would require substantiated irregularities triggering a recount or legal contest, scenarios unsupported by current reporting from election officials.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,315
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sean Casten's commanding lead in the IL-06 Democratic primary stems from his status as the three-term incumbent congressman, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $3 million, key endorsements from party leaders, and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic suburban Chicago district. His landslide projected win on March 19—securing about 74% of the vote against Joey Ruzevich's 15%—has locked in trader consensus at virtually 100%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his nomination. While certification remains pending, realistic challenges would require substantiated irregularities triggering a recount or legal contest, scenarios unsupported by current reporting from election officials.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,315
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 17, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sean Casten" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Joey Ruzevich" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Feb 6, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Sean Casten" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Joey Ruzevich" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "IL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.