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Politik·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 4.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,505 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 4.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,505 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$1,024 Vol.

52%

Donavan McKinney

$20,247 Vol.

38%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Vol.

4%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Vol.

4%

Anthony Carbonaro

$404 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his massive financial advantage, reporting $6.4 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing after self-funding millions in prior races, bolstering incumbency in the solidly blue Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 37.5%, buoyed by endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, local Black leaders seeking restored Detroit representation, and progressive groups criticizing Thanedar's constituent services and policy flips. With no public polls, the closely contested odds reflect money versus grassroots momentum ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where turnout among key voting blocs could tip the balance. Lesser-known candidates like Shelby Campbell and Nazmul Hassan linger below 5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,505
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his massive financial advantage, reporting $6.4 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing after self-funding millions in prior races, bolstering incumbency in the solidly blue Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 37.5%, buoyed by endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, local Black leaders seeking restored Detroit representation, and progressive groups criticizing Thanedar's constituent services and policy flips. With no public polls, the closely contested odds reflect money versus grassroots momentum ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where turnout among key voting blocs could tip the balance. Lesser-known candidates like Shelby Campbell and Nazmul Hassan linger below 5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,505
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Shri Thanedar" di 52%, diikuti oleh "Donavan McKinney" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 52¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $22.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 19, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Shri Thanedar" di 52%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Donavan McKinney" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.