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Politik·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 16%

Matt Maasdam 3.8%

Muhammad Salman Rais 2.8%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink 80%

William Lawrence 16%

Matt Maasdam 3.8%

Muhammad Salman Rais 2.8%

Polymarket

$16,252 Vol.

Bridget Brink

$5,024 Vol.

80%

William Lawrence

$7,296 Vol.

16%

Matt Maasdam

$879 Vol.

4%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$661 Vol.

3%

Elyon Badger

$687 Vol.

2%

Josh Cowen

$894 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Prieditis

$811 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80% implied probability in the Michigan 7th Congressional District Democratic primary because institutional endorsements and campaign consolidation have concentrated support ahead of the August 4 contest. As a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine and Slovakia with foreign service experience, she secured backing from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate, while Josh Cowen withdrew and endorsed her. William Lawrence, a local activist with progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, remains the clearest alternative at 15% but trails in organizational resources. Remaining candidates including Matt Maasdam hold single-digit shares amid limited shifts in the final weeks before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,252
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds an 80% implied probability in the Michigan 7th Congressional District Democratic primary because institutional endorsements and campaign consolidation have concentrated support ahead of the August 4 contest. As a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine and Slovakia with foreign service experience, she secured backing from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate, while Josh Cowen withdrew and endorsed her. William Lawrence, a local activist with progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, remains the clearest alternative at 15% but trails in organizational resources. Remaining candidates including Matt Maasdam hold single-digit shares amid limited shifts in the final weeks before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,252
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bridget Brink" di 80%, diikuti oleh "William Lawrence" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $16.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Bridget Brink" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "William Lawrence" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.