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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 79%

Don Ufford 27%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,383 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 79%

Don Ufford 27%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,383 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$5,066 Vol.

79%

Don Ufford

$0 Vol.

27%

Andy Levin

$2,683 Vol.

9%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,467 Vol.

7%

Dave Woodward

$166 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his fundraising dominance—with $572,000 cash on hand after raising $201,000 in the latest quarter—Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November endorsement, and last week's milestone as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions, demonstrating superior organization in this open-seat race after incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens shifted to the U.S. Senate contest. Former Rep. Andy Levin lingers at 10% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 primary defeat, while state Rep. Aisha Farooqi, ex-Ford engineer Don Ufford—who faced scrutiny over past Republican registration—and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward split the rest, as late endorsements or turnout could influence the closely watched field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,383
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his fundraising dominance—with $572,000 cash on hand after raising $201,000 in the latest quarter—Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November endorsement, and last week's milestone as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions, demonstrating superior organization in this open-seat race after incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens shifted to the U.S. Senate contest. Former Rep. Andy Levin lingers at 10% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 primary defeat, while state Rep. Aisha Farooqi, ex-Ford engineer Don Ufford—who faced scrutiny over past Republican registration—and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward split the rest, as late endorsements or turnout could influence the closely watched field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,383
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jeremy Moss" di 79%, diikuti oleh "Don Ufford" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 79¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $13.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Jeremy Moss" di 79%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Don Ufford" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.