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Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Iceland Legislative Election

icon for Iceland Legislative Election
Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Iceland Legislative Election

Social Democrats (S) 99.8%

Independence (D) <1%

Other <1%

Centre (M) <1%

Polymarket

$307,571 Vol.

Social Democrats (S) 99.8%

Independence (D) <1%

Other <1%

Centre (M) <1%

Polymarket

$307,571 Vol.

icon for Independence (D)

Independence (D)

$84,692 Vol.

No

icon for Centre (M)

Centre (M)

$44,351 Vol.

No

icon for Social Democrats (S)

Social Democrats (S)

$73,454 Vol.

Yes

icon for People's (F)

People's (F)

$35,032 Vol.

No

icon for Viðreisn (C)

Viðreisn (C)

$35,724 Vol.

No

icon for Other

Other

$34,319 Vol.

No

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Centre Party (M, Miðflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Social Democratic Alliance (S, Samfylkingin - jafnaðarflokkur Íslands) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Party (F, Flokkur fólksins) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Reform Party (C, Viðreisn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than the Independence Party, the Social Democratic Alliance, the People's Party, the Liberal Reform Party, or Centre Party wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).
Volume
$307,571
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 30, 2024
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 21, 2024, 10:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Centre Party (M, Miðflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Social Democratic Alliance (S, Samfylkingin - jafnaðarflokkur Íslands) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Party (F, Flokkur fólksins) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Reform Party (C, Viðreisn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than the Independence Party, the Social Democratic Alliance, the People's Party, the Liberal Reform Party, or Centre Party wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Social Democratic Alliance, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).
Volume
$307,571
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 30, 2024
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 21, 2024, 10:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections will be held in Iceland on November 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Independence Party (D, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn) wins the most seats in the Icelandic Parliament a result of the next Icelandic parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Independence Party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Icelandic Government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Landskjörstjórn, https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Iceland Legislative Election" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Social Democrats (S)" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Independence (D)" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Iceland Legislative Election" telah menghasilkan $307.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 21, 2024. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Iceland Legislative Election," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Iceland Legislative Election" adalah "Social Democrats (S)" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Independence (D)" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Iceland Legislative Election" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.