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icon for Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Politik·UK

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

icon for Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Politik·UK

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Alfred Cannan 39%

Chris Thomas 22%

Jane Poole-Wilson 18%

Rob Callister 4.6%

Polymarket

$39,987 Vol.

Alfred Cannan 39%

Chris Thomas 22%

Jane Poole-Wilson 18%

Rob Callister 4.6%

Polymarket

$39,987 Vol.

icon for Alfred Cannan

Alfred Cannan

$19,827 Vol.

39%

icon for Chris Thomas

Chris Thomas

$7,023 Vol.

22%

icon for Jane Poole-Wilson

Jane Poole-Wilson

$5,036 Vol.

18%

icon for Rob Callister

Rob Callister

$4,177 Vol.

5%

icon for Lawrie Hooper

Lawrie Hooper

$3,397 Vol.

5%

icon for Alex Allinson

Alex Allinson

$528 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 24 September 2026 House of Keys election remains the dominant driver of trader odds for the next Chief Minister, as the 24 newly elected MHKs will nominate and confirm the officeholder in the days afterward under Tynwald procedures. Incumbent Alfred Cannan holds the highest implied probability at 38 percent, reflecting his record since 2021 and status as the only sitting chief minister standing for re-election, while Chris Thomas at 22.5 percent and Jane Poole-Wilson at 17.5 percent trail among other current ministers. The field stays fragmented because Manx politics lacks strong party structures, forcing any nominee to secure broad cross-bench support in the post-election ballot. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate nominations, constituency results that shift the balance of independents, or early indications of preferred leadership alignments among returning MHKs.

Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,987
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming 24 September 2026 House of Keys election remains the dominant driver of trader odds for the next Chief Minister, as the 24 newly elected MHKs will nominate and confirm the officeholder in the days afterward under Tynwald procedures. Incumbent Alfred Cannan holds the highest implied probability at 38 percent, reflecting his record since 2021 and status as the only sitting chief minister standing for re-election, while Chris Thomas at 22.5 percent and Jane Poole-Wilson at 17.5 percent trail among other current ministers. The field stays fragmented because Manx politics lacks strong party structures, forcing any nominee to secure broad cross-bench support in the post-election ballot. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate nominations, constituency results that shift the balance of independents, or early indications of preferred leadership alignments among returning MHKs.

Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,987
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alfred Cannan" di 39%, diikuti oleh "Chris Thomas" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 39¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?" telah menghasilkan $40K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?" adalah "Alfred Cannan" di 39%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Chris Thomas" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.