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Politik·Uk

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politik·Uk

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Zoë Garbett 51%

Caroline Woodley 38%

Vahid Almasi 8%

Eva Steinhardt 6%

Polymarket
BARU

Zoë Garbett 51%

Caroline Woodley 38%

Vahid Almasi 8%

Eva Steinhardt 6%

Polymarket
BARU
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? icon

Zoë Garbett

$160 Vol.

51%

Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? icon

Caroline Woodley

$14 Vol.

38%

Will Vahid Almasi win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? icon

Vahid Almasi

$14 Vol.

8%

Will Eva Steinhardt win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? icon

Eva Steinhardt

$77 Vol.

6%

Will Tareke Gregg win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? icon

Tareke Gregg

$39 Vol.

3%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability for the Hackney mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a recent JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% versus Labour's 33% amid council vote projections of no majority and Greens taking the most seats. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, elected in a 2023 by-election as the borough's first woman mayor, trails at 38% as historical Labour dominance faces a Green surge driven by campaigns on housing, council responsiveness, and anti-austerity pledges. Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, Conservative Tareke Gregg, and Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt hold low single-digit support, with final turnout and momentum key in this closely contested first-past-the-post race.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$302
Tanggal Berakhir
May 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability for the Hackney mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a recent JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% versus Labour's 33% amid council vote projections of no majority and Greens taking the most seats. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, elected in a 2023 by-election as the borough's first woman mayor, trails at 38% as historical Labour dominance faces a Green surge driven by campaigns on housing, council responsiveness, and anti-austerity pledges. Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, Conservative Tareke Gregg, and Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt hold low single-digit support, with final turnout and momentum key in this closely contested first-past-the-post race.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$302
Tanggal Berakhir
May 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Zoë Garbett" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Caroline Woodley" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Zoë Garbett" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Caroline Woodley" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.