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Teknologi·Big Tech

GPT-5.5 released on...?

Market icon
Teknologi·Big Tech

GPT-5.5 released on...?

Apr 30

Apr 30

April 23 75%

April 24 9.6%

No release by April 30 5.6%

April 30 4.1%

Polymarket

$140,160 Vol.

April 23 75%

April 24 9.6%

No release by April 30 5.6%

April 30 4.1%

Polymarket

$140,160 Vol.

April 18

$2,130 Vol.

<1%

April 19

$2,892 Vol.

<1%

April 20

$2,460 Vol.

1%

April 21

$4,541 Vol.

3%

April 22

$6,225 Vol.

4%

April 23

$30,002 Vol.

75%

April 24

$3,153 Vol.

10%

April 25

$1,743 Vol.

<1%

April 26

$2,060 Vol.

1%

April 27

$2,503 Vol.

1%

April 28

$2,902 Vol.

2%

April 29

$2,722 Vol.

1%

April 30

$4,493 Vol.

4%

No release by April 30

$9,065 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by pretraining completion on March 24, 2026, and CEO Sam Altman's "few weeks" timeline hint, positioning it as a natively multimodal large language model with advanced agentic capabilities. Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 received mixed reviews for instruction-following inconsistencies, prompting bets on OpenAI's competitive response pattern seen in prior releases like GPT-5.3-Codex. While no official announcement confirms the date, leaks suggest post-training and safety evals are complete, with resolution hinging on public API or ChatGPT rollout; a slip could boost the 5.9% "No release by April 30" odds amid typical AI deployment delays.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$140,160
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Jendela sengketa

Final

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by pretraining completion on March 24, 2026, and CEO Sam Altman's "few weeks" timeline hint, positioning it as a natively multimodal large language model with advanced agentic capabilities. Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 received mixed reviews for instruction-following inconsistencies, prompting bets on OpenAI's competitive response pattern seen in prior releases like GPT-5.3-Codex. While no official announcement confirms the date, leaks suggest post-training and safety evals are complete, with resolution hinging on public API or ChatGPT rollout; a slip could boost the 5.9% "No release by April 30" odds amid typical AI deployment delays.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$140,160
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Jendela sengketa

Final

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"GPT-5.5 released on...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 24 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "April 23" di 75%, diikuti oleh "April 24" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 75¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "GPT-5.5 released on...?" telah menghasilkan $140.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "GPT-5.5 released on...?," jelajahi 24 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "GPT-5.5 released on...?" adalah "April 23" di 75%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "April 24" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "GPT-5.5 released on...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.