Recent purges of senior PLA officers, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairmen Zhang Youxia and He Weidong along with figures such as Liu Zhenli, have fueled speculation around internal military factions. Official statements cite corruption and discipline violations, yet analysts link the moves to disagreements over Taiwan contingency planning and Xi Jinping’s consolidation of personal authority within the Central Military Commission. Unverified reports of foiled plots in January 2026 circulated but lacked confirmation as executed coup attempts under standard resolution criteria. Tight centralized control, rapid replacement of dismissed leaders, and absence of coordinated public challenges have kept trader-implied probabilities low. No major scheduled party or military events in the immediate resolution window appear positioned to alter this dynamic absent new verified developments.