Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removals of senior generals from the Central Military Commission. These actions have reinforced centralized authority rather than exposing fractures that could enable a coup attempt before 2027. Trader consensus at 96% for no occurrence reflects the absence of verifiable challenges from rival factions, established succession norms, or institutional mechanisms for rapid elite turnover in the current system. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen leadership health crisis, major economic disruption triggering elite discontent, or external geopolitical shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though no such indicators have emerged in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$130,965 Vol.
$130,965 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$130,965 Vol.
$130,965 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removals of senior generals from the Central Military Commission. These actions have reinforced centralized authority rather than exposing fractures that could enable a coup attempt before 2027. Trader consensus at 96% for no occurrence reflects the absence of verifiable challenges from rival factions, established succession norms, or institutional mechanisms for rapid elite turnover in the current system. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen leadership health crisis, major economic disruption triggering elite discontent, or external geopolitical shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though no such indicators have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$130,965Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removals of senior generals from the Central Military Commission. These actions have reinforced centralized authority rather than exposing fractures that could enable a coup attempt before 2027. Trader consensus at 96% for no occurrence reflects the absence of verifiable challenges from rival factions, established succession norms, or institutional mechanisms for rapid elite turnover in the current system. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen leadership health crisis, major economic disruption triggering elite discontent, or external geopolitical shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though no such indicators have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$130,965Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption investigations and leadership purges, including the January 2026 removals of senior generals from the Central Military Commission. These actions have reinforced centralized authority rather than exposing fractures that could enable a coup attempt before 2027. Trader consensus at 96% for no occurrence reflects the absence of verifiable challenges from rival factions, established succession norms, or institutional mechanisms for rapid elite turnover in the current system. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen leadership health crisis, major economic disruption triggering elite discontent, or external geopolitical shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though no such indicators have emerged in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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