Recent large-scale purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and He Weidong plus other top generals in late 2025 and early 2026, have fueled overseas speculation about possible coup plots or factional challenges to leadership authority. Official announcements cite disciplinary violations and corruption, while analysts link the removals to disagreements over Taiwan operational planning and loyalty tests. Unverified reports of foiled plots or internal clashes circulated in January 2026 but lack confirmation from credible independent sources. China’s opaque system and absence of verified coordinated military action to seize power keep trader-implied probabilities low, with resolution hinging on widely reported events meeting strict criteria before year-end 2026.
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