In California's 7th Congressional District (Cook PVI D+16), trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the House general election winner, driven by the district's consistent large Democratic margins—incumbent Doris Matsui won 67% in 2024—and weak Republican challengers Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden lacking fundraising or name recognition. The top-two primary on June 2 features four Democrats, including Matsui and surging challenger Mai Vang (recent local polls show her closing the gap amid endorsements like Sacramento Bee's), positioning two Democrats to likely advance as in prior cycles. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect structural barriers, though a Republican primary upset, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could challenge this.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,832 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$715 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th Congressional District (Cook PVI D+16), trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the House general election winner, driven by the district's consistent large Democratic margins—incumbent Doris Matsui won 67% in 2024—and weak Republican challengers Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden lacking fundraising or name recognition. The top-two primary on June 2 features four Democrats, including Matsui and surging challenger Mai Vang (recent local polls show her closing the gap amid endorsements like Sacramento Bee's), positioning two Democrats to likely advance as in prior cycles. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect structural barriers, though a Republican primary upset, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could challenge this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$2,547Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th Congressional District (Cook PVI D+16), trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the House general election winner, driven by the district's consistent large Democratic margins—incumbent Doris Matsui won 67% in 2024—and weak Republican challengers Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden lacking fundraising or name recognition. The top-two primary on June 2 features four Democrats, including Matsui and surging challenger Mai Vang (recent local polls show her closing the gap amid endorsements like Sacramento Bee's), positioning two Democrats to likely advance as in prior cycles. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect structural barriers, though a Republican primary upset, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could challenge this.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,547Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's 7th Congressional District (Cook PVI D+16), trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the House general election winner, driven by the district's consistent large Democratic margins—incumbent Doris Matsui won 67% in 2024—and weak Republican challengers Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden lacking fundraising or name recognition. The top-two primary on June 2 features four Democrats, including Matsui and surging challenger Mai Vang (recent local polls show her closing the gap amid endorsements like Sacramento Bee's), positioning two Democrats to likely advance as in prior cycles. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect structural barriers, though a Republican primary upset, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could challenge this.
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