Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election position the Popular Party (PP), led by incumbent President Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in the 109-seat Parliament, requiring 55 seats, fueling trader consensus at 55.5% for Yes. Surveys from CIS (April), GAD3, Sigma Dos, and CENTRA project PP at 41-44% support, translating to 53-58 seats, bolstered by Moreno's high approval ratings and vote gains from a declining PSOE (21-26%, 26-31 seats) and fragmented left parties like Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox holds steady at 13-16% (13-20 seats), but PP's consolidation of centrist and moderate voters amid PSOE's historic lows drives the closely contested odds, with the campaign's final week and voter turnout as key variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election position the Popular Party (PP), led by incumbent President Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in the 109-seat Parliament, requiring 55 seats, fueling trader consensus at 55.5% for Yes. Surveys from CIS (April), GAD3, Sigma Dos, and CENTRA project PP at 41-44% support, translating to 53-58 seats, bolstered by Moreno's high approval ratings and vote gains from a declining PSOE (21-26%, 26-31 seats) and fragmented left parties like Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox holds steady at 13-16% (13-20 seats), but PP's consolidation of centrist and moderate voters amid PSOE's historic lows drives the closely contested odds, with the campaign's final week and voter turnout as key variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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