The May 17 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This result reflected a five-seat decline from the party's 2022 performance despite leading the vote share, with the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) posting historic losses and Vox securing 15 seats as the key potential coalition partner. Final counts with over 99 percent of ballots processed showed no path for PP to reach a solo majority under current seat distributions. Trader consensus at 99.8 percent for "No" aligns with these certified tallies. Remaining factors that could theoretically shift the outcome include protracted official certification disputes, successful legal challenges to specific district results, or rare adjustments during the formal seat allocation process, though the two-seat gap makes such reversals improbable.