Trader consensus on a 65% chance of impeachment before the end of President Trump's term reflects sustained low approval ratings near 37-38% and polling showing majority public support for House action. Recent Democratic resolutions in 2025 introduced multiple articles citing obstruction, bribery, and abuse of power, though these were tabled amid Republican House control. With 2026 midterms approaching and potential shifts in congressional majorities, markets price in elevated odds of renewed proceedings in a future Democratic-led chamber, consistent with patterns where opposition parties advance impeachment inquiries during periods of divided government. Short-term probabilities remain far lower, underscoring that any successful articles would require both majority support in the House and the political conditions to advance through committee and floor votes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$65,701 वॉल्यूम
$65,701 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2029
हाँ
$65,701 वॉल्यूम
$65,701 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 65% chance of impeachment before the end of President Trump's term reflects sustained low approval ratings near 37-38% and polling showing majority public support for House action. Recent Democratic resolutions in 2025 introduced multiple articles citing obstruction, bribery, and abuse of power, though these were tabled amid Republican House control. With 2026 midterms approaching and potential shifts in congressional majorities, markets price in elevated odds of renewed proceedings in a future Democratic-led chamber, consistent with patterns where opposition parties advance impeachment inquiries during periods of divided government. Short-term probabilities remain far lower, underscoring that any successful articles would require both majority support in the House and the political conditions to advance through committee and floor votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,701समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 65% chance of impeachment before the end of President Trump's term reflects sustained low approval ratings near 37-38% and polling showing majority public support for House action. Recent Democratic resolutions in 2025 introduced multiple articles citing obstruction, bribery, and abuse of power, though these were tabled amid Republican House control. With 2026 midterms approaching and potential shifts in congressional majorities, markets price in elevated odds of renewed proceedings in a future Democratic-led chamber, consistent with patterns where opposition parties advance impeachment inquiries during periods of divided government. Short-term probabilities remain far lower, underscoring that any successful articles would require both majority support in the House and the political conditions to advance through committee and floor votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$65,701समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 65% chance of impeachment before the end of President Trump's term reflects sustained low approval ratings near 37-38% and polling showing majority public support for House action. Recent Democratic resolutions in 2025 introduced multiple articles citing obstruction, bribery, and abuse of power, though these were tabled amid Republican House control. With 2026 midterms approaching and potential shifts in congressional majorities, markets price in elevated odds of renewed proceedings in a future Democratic-led chamber, consistent with patterns where opposition parties advance impeachment inquiries during periods of divided government. Short-term probabilities remain far lower, underscoring that any successful articles would require both majority support in the House and the political conditions to advance through committee and floor votes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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