Amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including a collapsed ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz blockade, and stalled peace talks, President Trump confirmed a phone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on April 15, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for that outcome as the market leader with $14,000 in volume. This diplomatic outreach to a key Gulf ally amid the conflict explains the sharp favoritism, while probabilities for others like Ahmed al-Sharaa (63%) and Pope Leo XIV (51%) reflect speculation on further engagements. Lower odds for Xi Jinping (15%), Vladimir Putin (21%), and Elon Musk (28%) indicate no verified April contacts yet, though upcoming summits or military developments before April 30 could shift sentiment in this $213,000-volume market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$213,657 वॉल्यूम
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
78%
एलन मस्क
36%
अहमद अल-शराआ
27%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेन्स्की
30%
उर्सुला वॉन डेर लेयेन
20%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
17%
शी जिनपिंग
13%
लूला दा सिल्वा
12%
मसूद पेज़ेश्कियान
9%
मारिया कोरिना मचाडो
9%
पोप लिओ चौदहवें
8%
रजा पहलवी
3%
किम जोंग उन
1%
निकोलस मादुरो
1%
यून सुक योल
<1%
$213,657 वॉल्यूम
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
78%
एलन मस्क
36%
अहमद अल-शराआ
27%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेन्स्की
30%
उर्सुला वॉन डेर लेयेन
20%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
17%
शी जिनपिंग
13%
लूला दा सिल्वा
12%
मसूद पेज़ेश्कियान
9%
मारिया कोरिना मचाडो
9%
पोप लिओ चौदहवें
8%
रजा पहलवी
3%
किम जोंग उन
1%
निकोलस मादुरो
1%
यून सुक योल
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including a collapsed ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz blockade, and stalled peace talks, President Trump confirmed a phone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on April 15, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for that outcome as the market leader with $14,000 in volume. This diplomatic outreach to a key Gulf ally amid the conflict explains the sharp favoritism, while probabilities for others like Ahmed al-Sharaa (63%) and Pope Leo XIV (51%) reflect speculation on further engagements. Lower odds for Xi Jinping (15%), Vladimir Putin (21%), and Elon Musk (28%) indicate no verified April contacts yet, though upcoming summits or military developments before April 30 could shift sentiment in this $213,000-volume market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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