OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary reference to GPT-5.6 in internal Codex routing logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June window. The 52.5% market-implied probability for June 15–21 reflects expectations of continued rapid iteration on large language models, consistent with prior 30–60 day cycles between 5.x versions. A May 28 update to GPT-5.5 Instant and ongoing competitive pressure from rivals have kept momentum high, while the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June sustains the 18% chance of no release by June 28. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm or shift the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJune 15–June 21 46%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 6%
$62,969 वॉल्यूम
$62,969 वॉल्यूम
28 जून, 2026
June 1–June 7
1%
June 8–June 14
6%
June 15–June 21
52%
June 22–June 28
19%
Not released by June 28
27%
June 15–June 21 46%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 6%
$62,969 वॉल्यूम
$62,969 वॉल्यूम
28 जून, 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,614 वॉल्यूम
1%
June 8–June 14
$11,741 वॉल्यूम
6%
June 15–June 21
$2,721 वॉल्यूम
52%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 वॉल्यूम
19%
Not released by June 28
$6,744 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary reference to GPT-5.6 in internal Codex routing logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June window. The 52.5% market-implied probability for June 15–21 reflects expectations of continued rapid iteration on large language models, consistent with prior 30–60 day cycles between 5.x versions. A May 28 update to GPT-5.5 Instant and ongoing competitive pressure from rivals have kept momentum high, while the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June sustains the 18% chance of no release by June 28. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm or shift the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62,969समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary reference to GPT-5.6 in internal Codex routing logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June window. The 52.5% market-implied probability for June 15–21 reflects expectations of continued rapid iteration on large language models, consistent with prior 30–60 day cycles between 5.x versions. A May 28 update to GPT-5.5 Instant and ongoing competitive pressure from rivals have kept momentum high, while the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June sustains the 18% chance of no release by June 28. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm or shift the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$62,969समाप्ति तिथि
28 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary reference to GPT-5.6 in internal Codex routing logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June window. The 52.5% market-implied probability for June 15–21 reflects expectations of continued rapid iteration on large language models, consistent with prior 30–60 day cycles between 5.x versions. A May 28 update to GPT-5.5 Instant and ongoing competitive pressure from rivals have kept momentum high, while the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June sustains the 18% chance of no release by June 28. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm or shift the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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