OpenAI's rapid iteration from the GPT-5.5 launch on April 23, 2026, and the subsequent GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May have accelerated trader expectations for a GPT-5.6 large language model release. Internal testing traces spotted in Codex, combined with reports of checkpoint evaluations in mid-May, point to an early-June window as the most likely outcome under OpenAI's recent 30- to 45-day cadence. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind, alongside ongoing safety benchmarks and regulatory scrutiny, continues to shape market-implied odds around late-May through mid-June dates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential API preview announcements could quickly shift sentiment if confirmed timelines emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$88,142 वॉल्यूम
22 मई, 2026
22 मई
5%
31 मई
22%
5 जून
46%
8 जून
55%
June 15
82%
June 30
92%
July 31
92%
$88,142 वॉल्यूम
22 मई
$19,112 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 मई
$26,795 वॉल्यूम
22%
5 जून
$1,734 वॉल्यूम
46%
8 जून
$3,709 वॉल्यूम
55%
June 15
$6,078 वॉल्यूम
82%
June 30
$11,274 वॉल्यूम
92%
July 31
$6,390 वॉल्यूम
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's rapid iteration from the GPT-5.5 launch on April 23, 2026, and the subsequent GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May have accelerated trader expectations for a GPT-5.6 large language model release. Internal testing traces spotted in Codex, combined with reports of checkpoint evaluations in mid-May, point to an early-June window as the most likely outcome under OpenAI's recent 30- to 45-day cadence. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind, alongside ongoing safety benchmarks and regulatory scrutiny, continues to shape market-implied odds around late-May through mid-June dates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential API preview announcements could quickly shift sentiment if confirmed timelines emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88,142समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's rapid iteration from the GPT-5.5 launch on April 23, 2026, and the subsequent GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May have accelerated trader expectations for a GPT-5.6 large language model release. Internal testing traces spotted in Codex, combined with reports of checkpoint evaluations in mid-May, point to an early-June window as the most likely outcome under OpenAI's recent 30- to 45-day cadence. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind, alongside ongoing safety benchmarks and regulatory scrutiny, continues to shape market-implied odds around late-May through mid-June dates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential API preview announcements could quickly shift sentiment if confirmed timelines emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$88,142समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's rapid iteration from the GPT-5.5 launch on April 23, 2026, and the subsequent GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May have accelerated trader expectations for a GPT-5.6 large language model release. Internal testing traces spotted in Codex, combined with reports of checkpoint evaluations in mid-May, point to an early-June window as the most likely outcome under OpenAI's recent 30- to 45-day cadence. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind, alongside ongoing safety benchmarks and regulatory scrutiny, continues to shape market-implied odds around late-May through mid-June dates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential API preview announcements could quickly shift sentiment if confirmed timelines emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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