A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview launched April 7, 2026, as a gated research model on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI, restricted primarily to defensive cybersecurity partners under Project Glasswing. The company has cited its advanced capabilities in zero-day vulnerability identification and multi-step exploit reasoning as reasons for the controlled rollout, distinguishing it from prior Opus models. Recent reporting from late May indicates plans to expand access to all customers in the coming weeks, driven by competitive pressures and partner demand, though no full public API release date has been confirmed. Traders are watching for official announcements on broader availability or new safeguards that could accelerate or delay wider deployment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview launched April 7, 2026, as a gated research model on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI, restricted primarily to defensive cybersecurity partners under Project Glasswing. The company has cited its advanced capabilities in zero-day vulnerability identification and multi-step exploit reasoning as reasons for the controlled rollout, distinguishing it from prior Opus models. Recent reporting from late May indicates plans to expand access to all customers in the coming weeks, driven by competitive pressures and partner demand, though no full public API release date has been confirmed. Traders are watching for official announcements on broader availability or new safeguards that could accelerate or delay wider deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jun 8 2026
No public release of Claude Mythos announced; Project Glasswing remains limited access
June 30 surges to 78%38%
By June 8, 2026, Anthropic had not publicly released Claude Mythos to the general public, maintaining restricted access through Project Glasswing. This confirmed the market's final resolution that the model was not publicly accessible by the listed dates.
Jun 7 2026
No public release of Claude Mythos; model remains restricted to partners
June 30 surges to 63%39%
As of June 7, Anthropic has not publicly released Claude Mythos, maintaining restricted access through Project Glasswing. This confirms the market's lower prices for earlier release dates and higher confidence for later dates, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about a public launch.
Jun 2 2026
Anthropic expands access to Claude Mythos Preview to additional partners
July 31 jumps to 83%10%
Anthropic broadened access to Claude Mythos Preview for more cybersecurity partners, enabling further testing and vulnerability discovery, but still restricted from general public availability. This expansion reinforced expectations of a public release later in the summer.
May 28 2026
Anthropic Releases Claude Opus 4.7, Confirming Mythos Remains Restricted
July 31 surges to 75%23%
Anthropic launched Claude Opus 4.7 and explicitly stated it is less capable than the restricted Claude Mythos, reinforcing that Mythos-class models will only be released after new safeguards are proven.
May 22 2026
Anthropic expands Project Glasswing access and discloses over 10,000 vulnerabilities found
June 30 jumps to 22%11%
Anthropic announced that Project Glasswing partners have identified over 10,000 high-severity vulnerabilities using Claude Mythos Preview, signaling progress in testing and development of safeguards before a broader release. The company reiterated no public release date but expressed intent to make Mythos-class models generally available once safeguards are in place.
Apr 8 2026
Anthropic Suffers Second Leak Exposing Claude Code Source Files
June 30 jumps to 28%7%
Shortly after the Mythos announcement, Anthropic accidentally published the full source code of Claude Code to NPM, raising further concerns about its internal security practices and data vulnerabilities.
Apr 8 2026
Unauthorized Users Reportedly Gain Brief Access to Claude Mythos
June 30 jumps to 28%7%
Reports emerged that unauthorized users briefly accessed Claude Mythos Preview through a third-party vendor environment, raising security concerns but not altering the official restricted release policy.
Apr 8 2026
Unauthorized access to Claude Mythos reported amid limited rollout
June 30 dips to 27%1%
Bloomberg News reported that several unauthorized users gained access to Claude Mythos despite Anthropic's limited rollout under Project Glasswing, raising concerns about security and influencing market perceptions about the model's controlled availability.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic Launches Project Glasswing and Restricts Claude Mythos Access
June 30 plunges to 21%35%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos Preview alongside Project Glasswing, a defensive cybersecurity initiative. The company explicitly stated it does not plan to make the model generally available to the public due to severe cybersecurity risks.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic publicly discloses Claude Mythos and launches Project Glasswing with limited access
June 30 plunges to 35%21%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos on April 7, revealing its unprecedented cybersecurity capabilities and the decision not to release it publicly. Instead, they launched Project Glasswing, granting early access only to select cybersecurity partners, which tempered market expectations for a public release.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic officially announces Claude Mythos Preview and Project Glasswing
June 30 jumps to 35%7%
Anthropic publicly disclosed Claude Mythos Preview on April 7, announcing Project Glasswing to provide limited access to select cybersecurity partners rather than a public release, citing the model's unprecedented cybersecurity risks. This announcement tempered market expectations for a general public release soon.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic Launches Project Glasswing, Restricting Claude Mythos to Defensive Partners
June 30 plunges to 21%36%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos Preview but restricted its access to a consortium of tech giants under Project Glasswing, stating it has no plans for a general public release due to cybersecurity risks.
Apr 7 2026
Unauthorized access to Claude Mythos reported during Project Glasswing launch
June 30 jumps to 34%6%
On the same day as the Project Glasswing launch, Bloomberg News reported that several unauthorized users gained access to Claude Mythos, raising concerns about the model's security and influencing market perceptions about its controlled release.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic officially discloses Claude Mythos and launches Project Glasswing
June 30 jumps to 33%5%
Anthropic announced Claude Mythos Preview but stated it would not be publicly released due to its powerful cybersecurity capabilities. Instead, Anthropic launched Project Glasswing, granting early access to over 40 major tech companies for cybersecurity defense, limiting public availability and impacting market expectations.
Mar 27 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Mythos as a new, more powerful AI model tier
June 30 surges to 57%15%
Following the leak, Anthropic confirmed Claude Mythos as a new fourth-tier AI model, larger and more capable than previous models, emphasizing its step-change in capabilities, especially in cybersecurity and coding. This confirmation increased market confidence in the model's significance.
Mar 27 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Mythos leak and its advanced capabilities
June 30 surges to 57%15%
Anthropic publicly acknowledged the leak and confirmed Claude Mythos as a new, more powerful AI model tier above Opus, with dramatically higher scores in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity. This confirmation increased market confidence in the model's existence and potential future deployment.
Mar 27 2026
Cybersecurity Stocks Fall Following Leaked Details of Claude Mythos
June 30 plunges to 57%19%
Reports of Claude Mythos's advanced autonomous cybersecurity capabilities triggered a sell-off in cybersecurity stocks, highlighting the market's belief in the model's disruptive power.
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview launched April 7, 2026, as a gated research model on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI, restricted primarily to defensive cybersecurity partners under Project Glasswing. The company has cited its advanced capabilities in zero-day vulnerability identification and multi-step exploit reasoning as reasons for the controlled rollout, distinguishing it from prior Opus models. Recent reporting from late May indicates plans to expand access to all customers in the coming weeks, driven by competitive pressures and partner demand, though no full public API release date has been confirmed. Traders are watching for official announcements on broader availability or new safeguards that could accelerate or delay wider deployment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview launched April 7, 2026, as a gated research model on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI, restricted primarily to defensive cybersecurity partners under Project Glasswing. The company has cited its advanced capabilities in zero-day vulnerability identification and multi-step exploit reasoning as reasons for the controlled rollout, distinguishing it from prior Opus models. Recent reporting from late May indicates plans to expand access to all customers in the coming weeks, driven by competitive pressures and partner demand, though no full public API release date has been confirmed. Traders are watching for official announcements on broader availability or new safeguards that could accelerate or delay wider deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jun 8 2026
No public release of Claude Mythos announced; Project Glasswing remains limited access
June 30 surges to 78%38%
By June 8, 2026, Anthropic had not publicly released Claude Mythos to the general public, maintaining restricted access through Project Glasswing. This confirmed the market's final resolution that the model was not publicly accessible by the listed dates.
Jun 7 2026
No public release of Claude Mythos; model remains restricted to partners
June 30 surges to 63%39%
As of June 7, Anthropic has not publicly released Claude Mythos, maintaining restricted access through Project Glasswing. This confirms the market's lower prices for earlier release dates and higher confidence for later dates, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about a public launch.
Jun 2 2026
Anthropic expands access to Claude Mythos Preview to additional partners
July 31 jumps to 83%10%
Anthropic broadened access to Claude Mythos Preview for more cybersecurity partners, enabling further testing and vulnerability discovery, but still restricted from general public availability. This expansion reinforced expectations of a public release later in the summer.
May 28 2026
Anthropic Releases Claude Opus 4.7, Confirming Mythos Remains Restricted
July 31 surges to 75%23%
Anthropic launched Claude Opus 4.7 and explicitly stated it is less capable than the restricted Claude Mythos, reinforcing that Mythos-class models will only be released after new safeguards are proven.
May 22 2026
Anthropic expands Project Glasswing access and discloses over 10,000 vulnerabilities found
June 30 jumps to 22%11%
Anthropic announced that Project Glasswing partners have identified over 10,000 high-severity vulnerabilities using Claude Mythos Preview, signaling progress in testing and development of safeguards before a broader release. The company reiterated no public release date but expressed intent to make Mythos-class models generally available once safeguards are in place.
Apr 8 2026
Anthropic Suffers Second Leak Exposing Claude Code Source Files
June 30 jumps to 28%7%
Shortly after the Mythos announcement, Anthropic accidentally published the full source code of Claude Code to NPM, raising further concerns about its internal security practices and data vulnerabilities.
Apr 8 2026
Unauthorized Users Reportedly Gain Brief Access to Claude Mythos
June 30 jumps to 28%7%
Reports emerged that unauthorized users briefly accessed Claude Mythos Preview through a third-party vendor environment, raising security concerns but not altering the official restricted release policy.
Apr 8 2026
Unauthorized access to Claude Mythos reported amid limited rollout
June 30 dips to 27%1%
Bloomberg News reported that several unauthorized users gained access to Claude Mythos despite Anthropic's limited rollout under Project Glasswing, raising concerns about security and influencing market perceptions about the model's controlled availability.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic Launches Project Glasswing and Restricts Claude Mythos Access
June 30 plunges to 21%35%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos Preview alongside Project Glasswing, a defensive cybersecurity initiative. The company explicitly stated it does not plan to make the model generally available to the public due to severe cybersecurity risks.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic publicly discloses Claude Mythos and launches Project Glasswing with limited access
June 30 plunges to 35%21%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos on April 7, revealing its unprecedented cybersecurity capabilities and the decision not to release it publicly. Instead, they launched Project Glasswing, granting early access only to select cybersecurity partners, which tempered market expectations for a public release.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic officially announces Claude Mythos Preview and Project Glasswing
June 30 jumps to 35%7%
Anthropic publicly disclosed Claude Mythos Preview on April 7, announcing Project Glasswing to provide limited access to select cybersecurity partners rather than a public release, citing the model's unprecedented cybersecurity risks. This announcement tempered market expectations for a general public release soon.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic Launches Project Glasswing, Restricting Claude Mythos to Defensive Partners
June 30 plunges to 21%36%
Anthropic officially announced Claude Mythos Preview but restricted its access to a consortium of tech giants under Project Glasswing, stating it has no plans for a general public release due to cybersecurity risks.
Apr 7 2026
Unauthorized access to Claude Mythos reported during Project Glasswing launch
June 30 jumps to 34%6%
On the same day as the Project Glasswing launch, Bloomberg News reported that several unauthorized users gained access to Claude Mythos, raising concerns about the model's security and influencing market perceptions about its controlled release.
Apr 7 2026
Anthropic officially discloses Claude Mythos and launches Project Glasswing
June 30 jumps to 33%5%
Anthropic announced Claude Mythos Preview but stated it would not be publicly released due to its powerful cybersecurity capabilities. Instead, Anthropic launched Project Glasswing, granting early access to over 40 major tech companies for cybersecurity defense, limiting public availability and impacting market expectations.
Mar 27 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Mythos as a new, more powerful AI model tier
June 30 surges to 57%15%
Following the leak, Anthropic confirmed Claude Mythos as a new fourth-tier AI model, larger and more capable than previous models, emphasizing its step-change in capabilities, especially in cybersecurity and coding. This confirmation increased market confidence in the model's significance.
Mar 27 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Mythos leak and its advanced capabilities
June 30 surges to 57%15%
Anthropic publicly acknowledged the leak and confirmed Claude Mythos as a new, more powerful AI model tier above Opus, with dramatically higher scores in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity. This confirmation increased market confidence in the model's existence and potential future deployment.
Mar 27 2026
Cybersecurity Stocks Fall Following Leaked Details of Claude Mythos
June 30 plunges to 57%19%
Reports of Claude Mythos's advanced autonomous cybersecurity capabilities triggered a sell-off in cybersecurity stocks, highlighting the market's belief in the model's disruptive power.
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 जुलाई 88% (88¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 30 जून 73% पर है।
आज तक, "क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" ने कुल $1.1 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 27, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "31 जुलाई" 88% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "30 जून" 73% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" पर $1.1 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" बाज़ार में "31 जुलाई" के लिए 88¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "31 जुलाई" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 88% संभावना है। अगर आप 88¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 12¢ का लाभ।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" बाज़ार की निर्धारित समाप्ति तिथि बीत चुकी है, लेकिन बाज़ार अभी तक आधिकारिक रूप से हल नहीं हुआ है। समाप्ति तिथि इंगित करती है कि अंतर्निहित घटना कब होने या ज्ञात होने की उम्मीद है। बाज़ार समाधान प्रक्रिया के माध्यम से परिणाम औपचारिक रूप से हल होने तक ट्रेडिंग के लिए खुला रहता है।
"क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" बाज़ार में 52 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "क्लाउड मिथोस द्वारा जारी किया गया...?" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
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