Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Al Green on May 26, reflecting his momentum from topping the March 3 primary and a recent special election victory for the seat. Recent University of Houston polling (May 5-8) shows Menefee leading 50%-43%, with NYT aggregates indicating a +6 to +7 point edge amid a generational divide in the Houston-based district, a historic Black political stronghold. Endorsements like Rep. Jasmine Crockett's bolster Menefee, while debates last week highlighted policy contrasts; late scandals or turnout surges could narrow the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 90.0%
अल ग्रीन 9.9%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन <1%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%
$27,872 वॉल्यूम
$27,872 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी
90%
अल ग्रीन
10%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन
<1%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स
<1%
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 90.0%
अल ग्रीन 9.9%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन <1%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%
$27,872 वॉल्यूम
$27,872 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी
$16,721 वॉल्यूम
90%
अल ग्रीन
$4,866 वॉल्यूम
10%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन
$3,570 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स
$2,716 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Al Green on May 26, reflecting his momentum from topping the March 3 primary and a recent special election victory for the seat. Recent University of Houston polling (May 5-8) shows Menefee leading 50%-43%, with NYT aggregates indicating a +6 to +7 point edge amid a generational divide in the Houston-based district, a historic Black political stronghold. Endorsements like Rep. Jasmine Crockett's bolster Menefee, while debates last week highlighted policy contrasts; late scandals or turnout surges could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,872समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Al Green on May 26, reflecting his momentum from topping the March 3 primary and a recent special election victory for the seat. Recent University of Houston polling (May 5-8) shows Menefee leading 50%-43%, with NYT aggregates indicating a +6 to +7 point edge amid a generational divide in the Houston-based district, a historic Black political stronghold. Endorsements like Rep. Jasmine Crockett's bolster Menefee, while debates last week highlighted policy contrasts; late scandals or turnout surges could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$27,872समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Al Green on May 26, reflecting his momentum from topping the March 3 primary and a recent special election victory for the seat. Recent University of Houston polling (May 5-8) shows Menefee leading 50%-43%, with NYT aggregates indicating a +6 to +7 point edge amid a generational divide in the Houston-based district, a historic Black political stronghold. Endorsements like Rep. Jasmine Crockett's bolster Menefee, while debates last week highlighted policy contrasts; late scandals or turnout surges could narrow the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न