Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
2 जून, 2026
Jim Desmond
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
64%
Marni von Wilpert
30%
Brandon Riker
27%
Abel Chavez
7%
Mike Schaefer
6%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Kevin O'Neil
4%
Luis Reyna
2%
Ferguson Porter
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
$3,194 वॉल्यूम
Jim Desmond
$180 वॉल्यूम
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
$587 वॉल्यूम
64%
Marni von Wilpert
$287 वॉल्यूम
30%
Brandon Riker
$475 वॉल्यूम
27%
Abel Chavez
$143 वॉल्यूम
7%
Mike Schaefer
$41 वॉल्यूम
6%
Corinna Contreras
$183 वॉल्यूम
6%
Kevin O'Neil
$265 वॉल्यूम
4%
Luis Reyna
$249 वॉल्यूम
2%
Ferguson Porter
$281 वॉल्यूम
2%
Stephen Clemons
$158 वॉल्यूम
2%
Eric Shaw
$344 वॉल्यूम
2%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,194समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$3,194समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न