Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-45 Primary Winners
CA-45 Primary Winners
$11,628 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
Derek Tran
99%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
11%
Tom Vo
13%
Amy Phan West
3%
Mark Leonard
2%
Chuong Vo
59%
$11,628 वॉल्यूम
Derek Tran
$4,097 वॉल्यूम
99%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
$2,372 वॉल्यूम
11%
Tom Vo
$2,238 वॉल्यूम
13%
Amy Phan West
$841 वॉल्यूम
3%
Mark Leonard
$1,123 वॉल्यूम
2%
Chuong Vo
$957 वॉल्यूम
59%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,628समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$11,628समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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